Wed 28 Oct19:45Upcoming

⚽ Premiership

St Mirren vs Hibernian Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Mirren vs Hibernian in the Premiership. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.

St Mirren face Hibernian in the Premiership, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: St Mirren have no wins from their last 5, while Hibernian have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 0.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Mirren vs Hibernian with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.44
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.95 – 1.46 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.0% 13.1% 9.6% 4.7% 1.7%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6%
2 4.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-1
St Mirren winDrawHibernian win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Mirren vs Hibernian comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hibernian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

St Mirren 25%Draw 25%Hibernian 50%
25%25%50%
50%
Hibernian Win
57%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

St Mirren

St Mirren come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Aberdeen.

  • LAberdeen 3-1 St MirrenPremiership
  • LHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
  • LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
  • LRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
  • LSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership
Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ross County. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Falkirk.

  • LHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
  • LDundee Utd 1-0 HibernianPremiership
  • DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
  • LHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
  • WRoss County 0-3 HibernianLeague Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Mirren at 25% to win and Hibernian at 50%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Hibernian Win 50% 47% @ 1.95
Draw 25% 26% @ 3.60
St Mirren Win 25% 27% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hibernian or Draw at 1.30 (75% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Hibernian or Draw 75% 73% @ 1.30
St Mirren or Draw 50% 53% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 78% 66% @ 1.44
Over 1.5 69% 78% @ 1.22
Under 2.5 57% 45% @ 2.10
Over 2.5 43% 55% @ 1.73
Under 1.5 31% 22% @ 4.33
Over 3.5 22% 34% @ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 54% 44% @ 2.10
BTTS Yes 46% 56% @ 1.67

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Mirren vs Hibernian?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for St Mirren vs Hibernian?

Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline for St Mirren vs Hibernian.

What is the predicted score for St Mirren vs Hibernian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.95 for St Mirren and 1.46 for Hibernian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Mirren and Hibernian play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.