⚽ La Liga
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano face Celta Vigo in the La Liga, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Rayo Vallecano have 1 win from their last 5, while Celta Vigo have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, Celta Vigo won 1, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely result at 41%, implying a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano win | 41% |
| Draw | 29% |
| Celta Vigo win | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Rayo Vallecano win is the most likely result at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo. Wins shown from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective: Rayo Vallecano 2 · 2 drawn · Celta Vigo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Celta Vigo | 3 – 0 | Rayo Vallecano | L |
| 2025-09-21 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 – 1 | Celta Vigo | D |
| 2025-05-18 | Celta Vigo | 1 – 2 | Rayo Vallecano | W |
| 2025-01-10 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 – 1 | Celta Vigo | W |
| 2024-03-31 | Celta Vigo | 0 – 0 | Rayo Vallecano | D |
📈 Recent form
Rayo Vallecano come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Espanyol. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Elche.
- LRayo Vallecano 0-3 ElcheLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- WRayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
- LReal Madrid 4-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Celta Vigo come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Juventus.
- WCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- WCelta Vigo 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
- LCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusUEFA Europa League
- DElche 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Rayo Vallecano at 41% to win and Celta Vigo at 30%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano Win | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Celta Vigo Win | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rayo Vallecano or Draw at 1.36 (70% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano or Draw | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 59% | @ 1.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 48% | @ 1.95 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Rayo Vallecano win is the most likely result at 41%.
Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our model makes a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.15 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


