⚽ Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Bayern Munich face Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Bayern Munich have 4 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Dortmund have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bayern Munich won 3, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 70%, implying a 2.9-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich win | 70% |
| Draw | 16% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 13% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bayern Munich win is the most likely result at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 78%. Both teams to score: yes at 66%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. Wins shown from Bayern Munich’s perspective: Bayern Munich 3 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 – 2 | Bayern Munich | W |
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 – 3 | Bayern Munich | W |
| 2025-10-18 | Bayern Munich | 2 – 1 | Borussia Dortmund | W |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayern Munich | 2 – 2 | Borussia Dortmund | D |
| 2024-11-30 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 – 1 | Bayern Munich | D |
📈 Recent form
Bayern Munich come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 20 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Union Berlin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DBayern Munich 2-2 ArsenalUEFA Champions League
- WBayern Munich 6-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- DViking 3-3 Bayern MunichUEFA Champions League
- DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Borussia Dortmund come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Bodo/Glimt.
- WBorussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- WSabah FA 1-2 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League
- DUnion Berlin 0-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
- LBodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League
- DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Bayern Munich at 70% to win and Borussia Dortmund at 13%, with the draw at 16%. The bookmaker market makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich Win | 70% | @ 1.33 |
| Draw | 16% | @ 5.75 |
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 13% | @ 7.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.10 (87% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or Draw | 87% | @ 1.10 |
| Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 30% | @ 3.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | @ 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | @ 10.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 34% | @ 2.75 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bayern Munich win is the most likely result at 70%.
Who is the favourite for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 2.9-1.2 scoreline for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund.
What is the predicted score for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.90 for Bayern Munich and 1.25 for Borussia Dortmund. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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