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⚽ Eredivisie

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Ajax face AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Ajax have 3 wins from their last 5, while AZ Alkmaar have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 3, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 50%, implying a 2.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Ajax win	50%
Draw	23%
AZ Alkmaar win	26%
Over 2.5 goals	67%
Both teams to score	66%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.00 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	4.6%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%
1	6.3%	9.2%	6.7%	3.2%	1.2%
2	6.3%	9.2%	6.7%	3.2%	1.2%
3	4.2%	6.1%	4.4%	2.2%	0.8%
4	2.1%	3.1%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Ajax winDrawAZ Alkmaar win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ajax win is the most likely result at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 66%.

📊 Key numbers

Ajax 50%Draw 23%AZ Alkmaar 26%

50%23%26%

50%

Ajax Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar. Wins shown from Ajax’s perspective: 2 drawn · AZ Alkmaar 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-08	AZ Alkmaar	1 – 1	Ajax	D
2025-10-18	Ajax	0 – 2	AZ Alkmaar	L
2025-03-16	Ajax	2 – 2	AZ Alkmaar	D
2024-12-08	AZ Alkmaar	2 – 1	Ajax	L
2024-02-25	AZ Alkmaar	2 – 0	Ajax	L

📈 Recent form

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Groningen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at HNK Hajduk Split.

WAjax 2-0 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference
WGroningen 2-5 AjaxEredivisie
LHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
DAjax 1-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Ararat-Armenia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Feyenoord.

WArarat-Armenia 0-4 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
DCambuur 2-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
WAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League
LFeyenoord 2-0 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
WAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ajax at 50% to win and AZ Alkmaar at 26%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ajax Win	50%	@ 1.85
AZ Alkmaar Win	27%	@ 3.50
Draw	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ajax or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ajax or Draw	73%	@ 1.28
AZ Alkmaar or Draw	50%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	54%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	46%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	34%	@ 2.75

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ajax win is the most likely result at 50%.

Who is the favourite for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Ajax and 1.45 for AZ Alkmaar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ajax and AZ Alkmaar play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.