Thu 5 Nov17:45Upcoming

Kairat Almaty

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Atalanta face Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 80%, implying a 2.8-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Atalanta win	80%
Draw	13%
Kairat Almaty win	6%
Over 2.5 goals	67%
Both teams to score	46%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.80 – 0.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
1	8.5%	5.9%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
2	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	11.0%	7.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	7.7%	5.4%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Atalanta winDrawKairat Almaty win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 80%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: no at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Atalanta 80%Draw 13%Kairat Almaty 6%

80%13%

80%

Atalanta Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Parma.

LAtalanta 0-3 ParmaSerie A
DFiorentina 2-2 AtalantaSerie A
DAtalanta 4-4 FrosinoneSerie A
LAjax 2-0 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference
LAC Milan 3-2 AtalantaSerie A

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Zhetysu. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at home to Panathinaikos.

DKairat Almaty 1-1 AltayPremier League
DAktobe 2-2 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
LKairat Almaty 1-5 PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference
DRiga 1-1 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference
WKairat Almaty 1-0 ZhetysuPremier League

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Kairat Almaty 4-3-1-2

82Kalmurza

24Mrynskiy

25Shirobokov

4Kasabulat

3Mata

22Mendonca

8Baibek

13Oksanen

17Tuyakbayev

28Gual

81Bekbolat

90Krstović

11Rowe

17De Ketelaere

59Zalewski

8Pasalic

13Éderson

47Bernasconi

40ObriÄ

42Scalvini

77Zappacosta

29Carnesecchi

Atalanta 4-2-3-1

Kairat Almaty

Last starting XI (4-3-1-2) vs Altay, 31/10

Unavailable: No reported absences

Bench last match9Edmilson20Tapalov6Sadybekov19Jukkola15Birkurmanov1Anarbekov5Kurgin59Tashpulatov27Abish71Makhametzhan

Atalanta

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Parma, 02/11

Unavailable: No reported absences

Coach: M. Sarri

Bench last match99Elmas41Idele53Plaia10Samardžić51Sonzogni57Sportiello7Sulemana46Levak

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atalanta at 80% to win and Kairat Almaty at 6%, with the draw at 13%. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Atalanta Win	80%	@ 1.17
Draw	13%	@ 7.00
Kairat Almaty Win	6%	@ 15.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atalanta or Draw at 1.03 (94% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Atalanta or Draw	94%	@ 1.03
Kairat Almaty or Draw	20%	@ 5.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.8-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	51%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	49%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS Yes	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Atalanta 82%Draw 12%Kairat Almaty 6%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 80%.

Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

Our model makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 80%. It projects an expected 2.8-0.7 scoreline for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.80 for Atalanta and 0.70 for Kairat Almaty. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atalanta and Kairat Almaty play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.