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Omonia Nicosia

⚽ UEFA Europa League

NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

NEC Nijmegen face Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: NEC Nijmegen have 1 win from their last 5, while Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 54%, implying a 1.9-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

NEC Nijmegen +0.25 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 77%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.91 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	5.3%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
1	8.5%	10.2%	6.1%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.1%	9.8%	5.9%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.2%	6.2%	3.7%	1.5%	0.4%
4	2.5%	3.0%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

NEC Nijmegen winDrawOmonia Nicosia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +0.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean under 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points no (55%).

📊 Key numbers

NEC Nijmegen 39%Draw 27%Omonia Nicosia 34%

39%27%34%

39%

NEC Nijmegen Win

61%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Dinamo Zagreb. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Heerenveen.

LHeerenveen 1-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 GroningenEredivisie
WDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League

Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Celje. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at AEK Larnaca.

WOmonia Nicosia 2-0 AEL1. Division
LAEK Larnaca 2-0 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
LOmonia Nicosia 1-4 BenficaUEFA Europa League
DOmonia Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos1. Division
WCelje 0-3 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

NEC Nijmegen

M. BakkerOff the roster
D. GeigerInjury
I. Hansen-AaroenOff the roster
E. MorGroin Injury
B. NuytinckAnkle Injury
P. SandlerInjury
D. TadicCalf Injury
A. TahauiOff the roster

Omonia Nicosia

C. EitingKnee Injury
F. KitsosNot in squad
L. NegoMuscle Injury

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

Omonia Nicosia 4-2-3-1

40Fabiano

93Duverne

5Coulibaly

37Satka

29Balkovec

74Andreou

14Maric

11Ewandro

22Tankovic

7Montnor

99Diony

30Linssen

9Chery

99Bischoff

35Monteiro

20Lebreton

34Kers

6Nejašmić

22Kaplan

4Schuurs

21Storm

1Crettaz

NEC Nijmegen 3-1-4-2

Omonia Nicosia

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs AEL, 31/10

Coach: Henning Berg

Bench last match1Kaminski78Michail27Simic90Konstantinidis44Viktoros28Odubajo20Brouwers17Tanase21Mayambela8Akintola85Neofytou9Kakoullis

NEC Nijmegen

Last starting XI (3-1-4-2) vs Heerenveen, 31/10

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Bench last match73Brás36Entius8Hansen-Aarøen66Kabar42Moslih12Polster14Sierhuis19Tahaui77Thomas11Willumsson

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices NEC Nijmegen at 39% to win and Omonia Nicosia at 34%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen Win	39%	54%	@ 1.75
Omonia Nicosia Win	34%	24%	@ 4.00
Draw	27%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 1.22 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	66%	76%	@ 1.22
Omonia Nicosia or Draw	60%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	81%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 1.5	66%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	61%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 2.5	39%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 1.5	34%	19%	@ 5.00
Over 3.5	19%	40%	@ 2.38

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	55%	41%	@ 2.25
BTTS Yes	45%	59%	@ 1.57

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when NEC Nijmegen or Omonia Nicosia is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Omonia Nicosia +2	88%	81%	@ 1.17
Omonia Nicosia +1.75	85%	74%	@ 1.27
Omonia Nicosia +1.5	82%	69%	@ 1.39
Omonia Nicosia +1.25	76%	64%	@ 1.48
Omonia Nicosia +1	71%	60%	@ 1.59
NEC Nijmegen +0.75	71%	81%	1.17
NEC Nijmegen +0.5	66%	75%	1.25
Omonia Nicosia +0.75	66%	52%	@ 1.85
Omonia Nicosia +0.5	60%	46%	@ 2.06
NEC Nijmegen +0.25	59%	73%	1.30
Omonia Nicosia +0.25	54%	40%	@ 2.41
NEC Nijmegen 0	53%	69%	1.38
Omonia Nicosia 0	47%	31%	@ 3.10
NEC Nijmegen -0.25	46%	60%	1.58
Omonia Nicosia -0.25	41%	27%	@ 3.56
NEC Nijmegen -0.5	40%	54%	1.78
NEC Nijmegen -0.75	34%	48%	2.02
Omonia Nicosia -0.5	34%	25%	@ 3.80
Omonia Nicosia -0.75	29%	19%	@ 5.00
NEC Nijmegen -1	29%	40%	2.38
NEC Nijmegen -1.25	24%	36%	2.67
NEC Nijmegen -1.5	18%	31%	3.04
NEC Nijmegen -1.75	15%	26%	3.69
NEC Nijmegen -2	12%	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

NEC Nijmegen 54%Draw 23%Omonia Nicosia 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 How this pick was selected

🔍 How this pick was selected

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	44%
GradientBoosting	Home	43%

Market consensus on NEC Nijmegen Asian Handicap +0.25: 73%

The table above shows each model’s view of the match winner. This pick is on a different market (goals or handicap) and was selected on the bookmaker market’s probability, not on our model.

The bookmaker market puts this selection at 73% with the margin removed; the odds of 1.30 imply 77% including the margin. In our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we select on the market’s probability.

Expected goals: 1.36 for the home side, 1.24 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +0.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?

Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.91 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.20 for Omonia Nicosia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do NEC Nijmegen and Omonia Nicosia play?

Kick-off is Thursday 05 November 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.