⚽ Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:45 UTC.
Heerenveen face NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Heerenveen have 3 wins from their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 2, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%, implying a 2.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Heerenveen win | 51% |
| Draw | 23% |
| NEC Nijmegen win | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Heerenveen win is the most likely result at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 66%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 2 · 1 drawn · NEC Nijmegen 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 – 2 | Heerenveen | D |
| 2025-09-21 | Heerenveen | 3 – 2 | NEC Nijmegen | W |
| 2025-04-27 | Heerenveen | 1 – 0 | NEC Nijmegen | W |
| 2024-10-19 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 – 0 | Heerenveen | L |
| 2024-03-10 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 – 0 | Heerenveen | L |
📈 Recent form
Heerenveen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Excelsior. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven.
- WADO Den Haag 2-3 HeerenveenEredivisie
- WHeerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
- WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Dinamo Zagreb. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WDinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League
- DAjax 1-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Heerenveen at 51% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 26%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen Win | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Draw | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen or Draw | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 34% | @ 2.75 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Heerenveen win is the most likely result at 51%.
Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Heerenveen and 1.45 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


