⚽ UEFA Champions League
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Napoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt finished 4-3. Napoli won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Napoli face Bodo/Glimt in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Napoli win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 2.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Bodo/Glimt with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 93% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Napoli come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Frosinone. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Venezia.
- WNapoli 4-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
- LVenezia 1-0 NapoliSerie A
- LVillarreal 3-1 NapoliUEFA Champions League
- WNapoli 3-0 FrosinoneSerie A
- DFiorentina 1-1 NapoliSerie A
Bodo/Glimt come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Rana. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at Napoli.
- LNapoli 4-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
- WHam-Kam 0-2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- WBodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League
- WBodo/Glimt 3-1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- WRana 2-6 Bodo/GlimtNM Cupen
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Alisson SantosMuscle Injury
- A. BuongiornoKnee Injury
- David NeresThigh Injury
- C. FavasuliThigh Injury
- L. MarianucciOff the roster
- A. VergaraCalf Injury
- H. EvjenKnee Injury
- A. MikkelsenGroin Injury
- M. RiisnaesKnee Injury
- I. SjongInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Napoli at 28% to win and Bodo/Glimt at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt Win | 46% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Napoli Win | 28% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 2.25 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt or Draw | 72% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Napoli or Draw | 54% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Napoli or Bodo/Glimt is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt +2 | 93% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.75 | 91% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.5 | 89% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1.25 | 85% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Bodo/Glimt +1 | 80% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.75 | 76% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.5 | 72% | 41% | @ 2.33 |
| Bodo/Glimt +0.25 | 66% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Napoli +0.75 | 60% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Bodo/Glimt 0 | 59% | 25% | @ 3.78 |
| Napoli +0.5 | 54% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.25 | 53% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Napoli +0.25 | 47% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.5 | 46% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Napoli 0 | 41% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Bodo/Glimt -0.75 | 40% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Napoli -0.25 | 34% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Napoli -0.5 | 28% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Napoli -0.75 | 24% | 54% | 1.77 |
| Napoli -1 | 20% | 47% | 2.06 |
| Napoli -1.25 | 15% | 42% | 2.30 |
| Napoli -1.5 | 11% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Napoli -1.75 | 9% | 31% | 3.07 |
| Napoli -2 | 7% | 24% | 3.96 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model's pick is Bodo/Glimt with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 93% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.17 for Napoli and 1.19 for Bodo/Glimt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Napoli and Bodo/Glimt play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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