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⚽ Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham in the Championship. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sheffield Utd face Wrexham in the Championship, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Sheffield Utd have 2 wins from their last 5, while Wrexham have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.3%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%
1	9.7%	11.7%	7.0%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.8%	9.3%	5.6%	2.2%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.0%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Sheffield Utd winDrawWrexham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Sheffield Utd 52%Draw 25%Wrexham 23%

52%25%23%

52%

Sheffield Utd Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Lincoln. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Portsmouth.

DSheffield Utd 1-1 DerbyChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
WSheffield Utd 3-0 LincolnChampionship
LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Blackburn.

LBlackburn 2-0 WrexhamChampionship
WWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
LWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
DDerby 1-1 WrexhamChampionship
WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sheffield Utd at 52% to win and Wrexham at 23%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd Win	52%	37%	@ 2.45
Draw	25%	28%	@ 3.30
Wrexham Win	23%	35%	@ 2.62

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.44 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd or Draw	77%	65%	@ 1.44
Wrexham or Draw	48%	63%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	69%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	53%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	47%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	31%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	23%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	45%	46%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Sheffield Utd and 1.20 for Wrexham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sheffield Utd and Wrexham play?

Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.