Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Wrexham vs Southampton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wrexham vs Southampton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Wrexham 2-1 Southampton

Wrexham vs Southampton finished 2-1. Wrexham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.25, landed.

Wrexham face Southampton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Wrexham have 1 win from their last 5, while Southampton have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.3-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wrexham vs Southampton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Southampton +0.75 @ 1.28

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.28 – 2.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	7.5%	7.5%	5.0%	2.5%
1	4.8%	9.6%	9.6%	6.4%	3.2%
2	3.1%	6.2%	6.2%	4.1%	2.1%
3	1.3%	2.6%	2.6%	1.8%	0.9%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Wrexham winDrawSouthampton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Southampton with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Southampton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Wrexham 22%Draw 21%Southampton 57%

22%21%57%

57%

Southampton Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Millwall. Their only defeat in that run was 0-6 at West Ham.

WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
WMillwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship

Southampton

Southampton come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Bristol City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Wrexham.

LWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
WSouthampton 4-1 Bristol CityChampionship
WSouthampton 3-1 SwanseaChampionship
DLincoln 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
DBirmingham 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Wrexham

L. CacaceCalf Injury
M. CleworthMuscle Injury
O. RathboneAnkle Injury
S. RevanHamstring Injury
G. ThomasonThigh Injury

Southampton

C. JanderLacking Match Fitness

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wrexham at 22% to win and Southampton at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton Win	57%	42%	@ 2.25
Wrexham Win	22%	32%	@ 3.00
Draw	21%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Southampton or Draw at 1.36 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton or Draw	80%	68%	@ 1.36
Wrexham or Draw	44%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	78%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	64%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 3.5	58%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 3.5	42%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 2.5	36%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	16%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	39%	42%	@ 2.20

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wrexham or Southampton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton +1.5	93%	84%	@ 1.13
Southampton +1.25	90%	83%	@ 1.15
Southampton +1	86%	81%	@ 1.17
Southampton +0.75	83%	74%	@ 1.28
Southampton +0.5	80%	67%	@ 1.41
Southampton +0.25	74%	63%	@ 1.52
Wrexham +1.75	73%	83%	1.15
Wrexham +1.5	68%	77%	1.22
Southampton 0	68%	56%	@ 1.70
Wrexham +1.25	62%	–	1.25
Southampton -0.25	62%	48%	@ 2.02
Southampton -0.5	56%	42%	@ 2.29
Wrexham +1	56%	74%	1.29
Wrexham +0.75	50%	65%	1.48
Southampton -0.75	50%	35%	@ 2.71
Southampton -1	44%	26%	@ 3.60
Wrexham +0.5	44%	58%	1.64
Wrexham +0.25	38%	52%	1.85
Wrexham 0	32%	44%	2.18
Southampton -1.5	32%	23%	@ 4.15
Southampton -1.75	27%	17%	@ 5.50
Wrexham -0.25	26%	37%	2.54
Wrexham -0.5	20%	33%	2.90
Wrexham -0.75	17%	26%	3.62
Wrexham -1	14%	19%	5.00
Wrexham -1.25	10%	17%	5.50
Wrexham -1.5	7%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Wrexham 32%Draw 26%Southampton 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton?

Our model's main pick is Southampton with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Southampton?

Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.0 scoreline for Wrexham vs Southampton.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Southampton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.28 for Wrexham and 2.00 for Southampton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wrexham and Southampton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.