Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Dundee vs Motherwell Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dundee vs Motherwell in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell

Dundee vs Motherwell finished 2-1. Dundee won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dundee face Motherwell in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Dundee have 2 wins from their last 5, while Motherwell have 2 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 41%, implying a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dundee vs Motherwell with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Dundee win 31%
Draw 28%
Motherwell win 41%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.35 – 1.55 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.5% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3%
1 7.4% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8%
2 5.0% 7.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2%
3 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Dundee winDrawMotherwell win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Dundee vs Motherwell. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Motherwell win is the most likely result at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Dundee 31%Draw 28%Motherwell 41%
31%28%41%
41%
Motherwell Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Dundee Utd. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Heart Of Midlothian.

  • WDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
  • LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
  • DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership
  • LDundee 1-2 HibernianPremiership
  • WDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership
Motherwell

Motherwell come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dundee Utd. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Dundee.

  • LDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
  • LMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
  • LRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
  • WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
  • DSt Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dundee at 31% to win and Motherwell at 41%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Motherwell win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Motherwell Win 41% @ 2.30
Dundee Win 31% @ 3.00
Draw 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Motherwell or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Motherwell or Draw 69% @ 1.36
Dundee or Draw 59% @ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% @ 1.22
Under 3.5 66% @ 1.44
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.73
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 22% @ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 59% @ 1.57
BTTS No 41% @ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

23%35%47%09/1409/1509/1709/1809/19

Dundee 31%Draw 28%Motherwell 41%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Motherwell win is the most likely result at 41%.

Who is the favourite for Dundee vs Motherwell?

Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for Dundee vs Motherwell.

What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Motherwell?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Dundee and 1.55 for Motherwell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dundee and Motherwell play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.