Sat 19 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

St Johnstone vs Falkirk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Johnstone vs Falkirk in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: St Johnstone 1-1 Falkirk

St Johnstone vs Falkirk finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St Johnstone face Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: St Johnstone have 1 win from their last 5, while Falkirk have 0 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a St Johnstone win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Johnstone vs Falkirk with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
St Johnstone win 46%
Draw 28%
Falkirk win 26%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.55 – 1.10 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
1 11.0% 12.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7%
2 8.5% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
3 4.4% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
St Johnstone winDrawFalkirk win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of St Johnstone vs Falkirk. Based on the bookmaker odds, a St Johnstone win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

St Johnstone 46%Draw 28%Falkirk 26%
46%28%26%
46%
St Johnstone Win
50%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Hibernian. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Celtic.

  • DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
  • LSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
  • WSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
  • DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership
  • LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 St JohnstonePremiership
Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rangers.

  • DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
  • WFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
  • DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
  • LFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
  • LCeltic 2-1 FalkirkPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Johnstone at 46% to win and Falkirk at 26%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a St Johnstone win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
St Johnstone Win 46% @ 2.05
Draw 28% @ 3.40
Falkirk Win 26% @ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St Johnstone or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection Market % Odds
St Johnstone or Draw 74% @ 1.28
Falkirk or Draw 54% @ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 70% @ 1.36
Over 2.5 50% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 50% @ 1.91
Over 3.5 30% @ 3.20
Under 1.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 53% @ 1.75
BTTS No 47% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

22%37%51%09/1409/1509/1609/1709/1809/19

St Johnstone 46%Draw 27%Falkirk 26%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a St Johnstone win is the most likely result at 46%.

Who is the favourite for St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

Our model makes a St Johnstone win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for St Johnstone vs Falkirk.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for St Johnstone and 1.10 for Falkirk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Johnstone and Falkirk play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.