Sat 19 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of Midlothian

Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kilmarnock face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: Kilmarnock have 0 wins from their last 5, while Heart Of Midlothian have 4 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 57%, implying a 1.1-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Kilmarnock win	20%
Draw	23%
Heart Of Midlothian win	57%
Over 2.5 goals	62%
Both teams to score	59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 2.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	8.4%	8.6%	5.9%	3.0%
1	4.7%	9.6%	9.8%	6.7%	3.4%
2	2.7%	5.5%	5.7%	3.9%	2.0%
3	1.0%	2.1%	2.2%	1.5%	0.8%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-2

Kilmarnock winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Heart Of Midlothian win is the most likely result at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 62%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Kilmarnock 20%Draw 23%Heart Of Midlothian 57%

20%23%57%

57%

Heart Of Midlothian Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Hibernian. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to St Mirren.

DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup
DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
LKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Stenhousemuir. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Falkirk.

DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WStenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup
WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kilmarnock at 20% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 57%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian Win	57%	@ 1.65
Draw	23%	@ 4.10
Kilmarnock Win	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.18 (80% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	80%	@ 1.18
Kilmarnock or Draw	43%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	62%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Kilmarnock 20%Draw 23%Heart Of Midlothian 58%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Heart Of Midlothian win is the most likely result at 57%.

Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.0 scoreline for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian.

What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Kilmarnock and 2.05 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.