Sun 20 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Premier League

Leeds vs Crystal Palace Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leeds vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace

Leeds vs Crystal Palace finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Leeds or Draw at 1.25, landed.

Leeds face Crystal Palace in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Leeds have 2 wins from their last 4, while Crystal Palace have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Leeds won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leeds vs Crystal Palace with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Crystal Palace +1.75 @ 1.31

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.11 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	6.7%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.2%	11.4%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.7%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.9%	5.5%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Leeds winDrawCrystal Palace win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Leeds vs Crystal Palace comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Crystal Palace with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Leeds win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Leeds 49%Draw 28%Crystal Palace 22%

49%28%22%

49%

Leeds Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Leeds and Crystal Palace. Wins shown from Leeds’s perspective: Leeds 1 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	Leeds	0 – 0	Crystal Palace	D
2026-03-15	Crystal Palace	0 – 0	Leeds	D
2025-12-20	Leeds	4 – 1	Crystal Palace	W

📈 Recent form

Leeds

Leeds come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Newcastle. Their only defeat in that run was 3-6 at Chelsea.

DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WLeeds 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
LChelsea 6-3 LeedsLeague Cup
DBrighton 1-1 LeedsPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Ipswich.

DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
LCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
WCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
WFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Leeds

M. JosephKnee Injury
J. RodonMuscle Injury
H. WilsonMuscle Injury

Crystal Palace

A. DisasiSuspended (red card)
D. HendersonFoot Injury
J. MatetaHamstring Injury
C. RiadKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Leeds at 49% to win and Crystal Palace at 22%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds Win	49%	56%	@ 1.70
Draw	28%	24%	@ 4.00
Crystal Palace Win	22%	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Leeds or Draw at 1.18 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Leeds or Draw	76%	80%	@ 1.18
Crystal Palace or Draw	49%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	69%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	53%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	47%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	31%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Leeds or Crystal Palace is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Crystal Palace +2	81%	79%	1.19
Leeds +0.75	80%	84%	1.12
Crystal Palace +1.75	77%	73%	@ 1.31
Leeds +0.5	76%	79%	1.19
Crystal Palace +1.5	73%	67%	@ 1.43
Leeds +0.25	70%	–	1.24
Crystal Palace +1.25	67%	62%	@ 1.53
Leeds 0	63%	74%	1.28
Crystal Palace +1	61%	56%	@ 1.70
Leeds -0.25	57%	64%	1.49
Crystal Palace +0.75	55%	49%	@ 2.00
Leeds -0.5	51%	57%	1.69
Crystal Palace +0.5	49%	43%	@ 2.21
Leeds -0.75	45%	51%	1.89
Crystal Palace +0.25	43%	36%	@ 2.69
Leeds -1	39%	44%	2.19
Crystal Palace 0	37%	26%	@ 3.69
Leeds -1.25	33%	38%	2.51
Leeds -1.5	27%	33%	2.85
Crystal Palace -0.5	24%	21%	@ 4.50
Leeds -1.75	23%	27%	3.54
Crystal Palace -0.75	20%	16%	@ 6.00
Leeds -2	19%	21%	4.50

📈 How the market moved

Leeds 57%Draw 24%Crystal Palace 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

Our model's main pick is Crystal Palace with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

Our model makes a Leeds win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Leeds vs Crystal Palace.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Leeds and 1.11 for Crystal Palace. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leeds and Crystal Palace play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.