⚽ Primeira Liga
Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.
Result: Estrela da Amadora 0-2 Académico de Viseu
Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu finished 0-2. Académico de Viseu won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.28, landed.
Estrela da Amadora face Académico de Viseu in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Estrela da Amadora have 2 wins from their last 5, while Académico de Viseu have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Académico de Viseu win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.3-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates an Académico de Viseu win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Estrela da Amadora come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to SC Braga. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Académico de Viseu.
- LEstrela da Amadora 0-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
- DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga
- WEstrela da Amadora 2-1 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
- DEstrela da Amadora 2-2 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
- WNacional 2-3 Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga
Académico de Viseu come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Estrela da Amadora. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to FC Porto.
- WEstrela da Amadora 0-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
- WAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- WGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
- LAcadémico de Viseu 0-3 FC PortoPrimeira Liga
- DMarítimo 2-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Estrela da Amadora at 33% to win and Académico de Viseu at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Académico de Viseu win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Académico de Viseu Win | 39% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Estrela da Amadora Win | 33% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Académico de Viseu or Draw at 1.67 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Académico de Viseu or Draw | 66% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Estrela da Amadora or Draw | 60% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Estrela da Amadora or Académico de Viseu is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Académico de Viseu +1.75 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Académico de Viseu +1.5 | 86% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Académico de Viseu +1.25 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Estrela da Amadora +1.25 | 76% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Académico de Viseu +1 | 76% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Estrela da Amadora +1 | 71% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Académico de Viseu +0.75 | 71% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Académico de Viseu +0.5 | 66% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Estrela da Amadora +0.75 | 66% | – | 1.22 |
| Estrela da Amadora +0.5 | 60% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Académico de Viseu +0.25 | 60% | 49% | @ 1.99 |
| Estrela da Amadora +0.25 | 54% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Académico de Viseu 0 | 53% | 39% | @ 2.46 |
| Estrela da Amadora 0 | 47% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Académico de Viseu -0.25 | 46% | 32% | @ 2.94 |
| Estrela da Amadora -0.25 | 40% | 51% | 1.89 |
| Académico de Viseu -0.5 | 40% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Estrela da Amadora -0.5 | 34% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Estrela da Amadora -0.75 | 29% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Académico de Viseu -1 | 29% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Estrela da Amadora -1 | 24% | 28% | 3.39 |
| Académico de Viseu -1.25 | 24% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Estrela da Amadora -1.25 | 19% | 25% | 3.83 |
| Estrela da Amadora -1.5 | 14% | 23% | 4.15 |
| Estrela da Amadora -1.75 | 12% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu?
Our model makes an Académico de Viseu win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu.
What is the predicted score for Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.29 for Estrela da Amadora and 1.80 for Académico de Viseu. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Estrela da Amadora and Académico de Viseu play?
Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Seattle Soundersvs
Real Salt LakeMajor League SoccerThu 24 Sep01:30
Gironavs
AlbaceteSegunda DivisiónFri 25 Sep18:30
New York Red Bullsvs
St. Louis CityMajor League SoccerSat 26 Sep23:30
Tenerifevs
CadizSegunda DivisiónSat 26 Sep16:30
Philadelphia Unionvs
Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerSat 26 Sep23:30
CF Montrealvs
FC CincinnatiMajor League SoccerSat 26 Sep23:30Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.