Wed 28 Oct19:45Upcoming

⚽ Premiership

St Johnstone vs Motherwell Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Johnstone vs Motherwell in the Premiership. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St Johnstone face Motherwell in the Premiership, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: St Johnstone have 2 wins from their last 5, while Motherwell have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St Johnstone win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Johnstone vs Motherwell with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.64 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	6.8%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
1	8.4%	11.2%	7.4%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.2%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.8%	5.0%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

St Johnstone winDrawMotherwell win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Motherwell comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a St Johnstone win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

St Johnstone 45%Draw 23%Motherwell 32%

45%23%32%

45%

St Johnstone Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Aberdeen. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Rangers.

LRangers 4-0 St JohnstonePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdPremiership
WAberdeen 0-1 St JohnstonePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership

Motherwell

Motherwell come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Kilmarnock.

LKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellPremiership
LMotherwell 0-2 CelticPremiership
LDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
LMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
LRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Johnstone at 45% to win and Motherwell at 32%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a St Johnstone win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St Johnstone Win	45%	42%	@ 2.20
Motherwell Win	32%	31%	@ 3.00
Draw	23%	27%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St Johnstone or Draw at 1.36 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St Johnstone or Draw	70%	69%	@ 1.36
Motherwell or Draw	56%	58%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	65%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	57%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	43%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	35%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	20%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	41%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

St Johnstone 42%Draw 27%Motherwell 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for St Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Our model makes a St Johnstone win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for St Johnstone vs Motherwell.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Motherwell?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for St Johnstone and 1.33 for Motherwell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Johnstone and Motherwell play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.