⚽ Serie A
Genoa vs Juventus Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genoa vs Juventus in the Serie A. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Genoa face Juventus in the Serie A, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Genoa have 1 win from their last 5, while Juventus have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Juventus won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genoa vs Juventus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Genoa vs Juventus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Genoa and Juventus. Wins shown from Genoa’s perspective: 1 drawn · Juventus 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Juventus | 2 – 0 | Genoa | L |
| 2025-08-31 | Genoa | 0 – 1 | Juventus | L |
| 2025-03-29 | Juventus | 1 – 0 | Genoa | L |
| 2024-09-28 | Genoa | 0 – 3 | Juventus | L |
| 2024-03-17 | Juventus | 0 – 0 | Genoa | D |
📈 Recent form
Genoa come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at AS Roma.
- LAS Roma 2-0 GenoaSerie A
- WGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
- LRapid 2-0 GenoaFriendlies Clubs
- LParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
- WGenoa 1-0 SudtirolCoppa Italia
Juventus come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Atalanta. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Lazio.
- DJuventus 2-2 RennesUEFA Europa League
- LJuventus 0-3 LazioSerie A
- WCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusUEFA Europa League
- DCagliari 1-1 JuventusSerie A
- WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. VenturinoJumpers Knee
No absentees reported.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Genoa at 24% to win and Juventus at 49%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus Win | 49% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Genoa Win | 24% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.14 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus or Draw | 75% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Genoa or Draw | 50% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Genoa vs Juventus?
Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Genoa vs Juventus?
Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Genoa vs Juventus.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Juventus?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.95 for Genoa and 1.55 for Juventus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Genoa and Juventus play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Los Angeles FCvs
Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League SoccerMon 26 Oct01:00
Beşiktaşvs
BaşakşehirSüper LigMon 26 Oct16:00
Rizesporvs
TrabzonsporSüper LigMon 26 Oct16:00
Galatasarayvs
FenerbahçeSüper LigMon 26 Oct18:30
Santa Claravs
BenficaPrimeira LigaMon 26 Oct18:45
Sevillavs
OsasunaLa LigaOsasuna Asian Handicap +1.5@ 1.30Mon 26 Oct20:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.