Wed 28 Oct19:45Upcoming

⚽ Premiership

Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dundee vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Dundee face Kilmarnock in the Premiership, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Dundee have 2 wins from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dundee vs Kilmarnock with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Dundee or Draw @ 1.28

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.7%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.6%	10.3%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Dundee winDrawKilmarnock win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dundee vs Kilmarnock comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Dundee or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Dundee 48%Draw 22%Kilmarnock 29%

48%22%29%

48%

Dundee Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Dundee and Kilmarnock. Wins shown from Dundee’s perspective: 1 drawn · Kilmarnock 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-12	Kilmarnock	3 – 1	Dundee	L
2026-04-11	Kilmarnock	2 – 2	Dundee	D

📈 Recent form

Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Falkirk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at St Mirren.

LSt Mirren 2-1 DundeePremiership
DDundee 2-2 RangersPremiership
WFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership
WDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Motherwell. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Falkirk.

LFalkirk 3-0 KilmarnockPremiership
WKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellPremiership
LRangers 3-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dundee at 48% to win and Kilmarnock at 29%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Dundee win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee Win	48%	49%	@ 1.90
Kilmarnock Win	29%	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	22%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee or Draw at 1.28 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee or Draw	72%	74%	@ 1.28
Kilmarnock or Draw	53%	51%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	62%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	61%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	39%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 2.5	38%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	17%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	38%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Dundee 48%Draw 25%Kilmarnock 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

Our model's pick is Dundee or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

Our model makes a Dundee win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Dundee vs Kilmarnock.

What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Dundee and 1.36 for Kilmarnock. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dundee and Kilmarnock play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.