⚽ Major League Soccer
Austin vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Austin vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Austin face Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Austin have no wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Austin won 1, Real Salt Lake won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Austin vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Austin vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (63%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Austin and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Austin’s perspective: Austin 1 · 1 drawn · Real Salt Lake 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | Austin | 2 – 2 | Real Salt Lake | D |
| 2024-06-02 | Real Salt Lake | 5 – 1 | Austin | L |
| 2023-06-04 | Austin | 1 – 2 | Real Salt Lake | L |
| 2023-03-12 | Real Salt Lake | 1 – 2 | Austin | W |
📈 Recent form
Austin come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.
- LAustin 1-2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LAustin 1-4 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to New England Revolution. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Philadelphia Union.
- WSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Austin at 32% to win and Real Salt Lake at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 43% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Austin Win | 32% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 37% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Austin vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.
Who is the favourite for Austin vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for Austin vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Austin and 1.64 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Austin and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


