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⚽ Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St. Louis City face Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: St. Louis City have 3 wins from their last 5, while Portland Timbers have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Louis City won 1, Portland Timbers won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.36

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.42 – 1.38 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	3.1%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%
1	5.4%	7.5%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%
2	6.6%	9.0%	6.2%	2.9%	1.0%
3	5.3%	7.3%	5.0%	2.3%	0.8%
4	3.2%	4.4%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

St. Louis City winDrawPortland Timbers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a St. Louis City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (68%).

📊 Key numbers

St. Louis City 48%Draw 27%Portland Timbers 25%

48%27%25%

48%

St. Louis City Win

73%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between St. Louis City and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from St. Louis City’s perspective: St. Louis City 1 · 3 drawn · Portland Timbers 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-10	Portland Timbers	2 – 2	St. Louis City	D
2024-08-25	Portland Timbers	4 – 4	St. Louis City	D
2024-06-09	St. Louis City	0 – 0	Portland Timbers	D
2023-04-30	St. Louis City	1 – 2	Portland Timbers	L
2023-03-12	Portland Timbers	1 – 2	St. Louis City	W

📈 Recent form

St. Louis City

St. Louis City come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Minnesota United FC.

DColumbus Crew 0-0 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
LMinnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
DSt. Louis City 0-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
WSt. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
WNew York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.

DPortland Timbers 0-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
LSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Louis City at 48% to win and Portland Timbers at 25%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St. Louis City Win	48%	58%	@ 1.62
Draw	27%	21%	@ 4.50
Portland Timbers Win	25%	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Louis City or Draw at 1.20 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St. Louis City or Draw	74%	78%	@ 1.20
Portland Timbers or Draw	52%	42%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	86%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	73%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 3.5	53%	50%	@ 1.83
Under 3.5	47%	50%	@ 1.83
Under 2.5	27%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	11%	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	68%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	32%	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.4 scoreline for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.42 for St. Louis City and 1.38 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Louis City and Portland Timbers play?

Kick-off is Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.