Almeria

Sun 11 Oct3-0Finished

Leganes

⚽ Segunda División

Almeria vs Leganes Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Almeria vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Almeria 3-0 Leganes

Almeria vs Leganes finished 3-0. Almeria won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Almeria face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Almeria have 5 wins from their last 5, while Leganes have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Almeria won 2. The bookmaker market makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Almeria vs Leganes with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Almeria win	58%
Draw	25%
Leganes win	17%
Over 2.5 goals	55%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.90 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	5.5%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.0%	10.4%	5.0%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.4%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.6%	6.3%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	3.0%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Almeria winDrawLeganes win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Almeria vs Leganes. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Almeria win is the most likely result at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Almeria 58%Draw 25%Leganes 17%

58%25%17%

58%

Almeria Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Almeria and Leganes. Wins shown from Almeria’s perspective: Almeria 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-11	Almeria	3 – 0	Leganes	W
2026-04-05	Almeria	2 – 1	Leganes	W

📈 Recent form

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Leganes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAlmeria 3-0 LeganesSegunda División
WAlmeria 2-1 BurgosSegunda División
WMallorca 0-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
WCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Almeria.

LAlmeria 3-0 LeganesSegunda División
LCadiz 4-0 LeganesSegunda División
LLeganes 0-2 CastellónSegunda División
WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Almeria at 58% to win and Leganes at 17%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes an Almeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Almeria Win	58%	@ 1.62
Draw	25%	@ 3.80
Leganes Win	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Almeria or Draw at 1.14 (83% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Almeria or Draw	83%	@ 1.14
Leganes or Draw	42%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.08
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Almeria 58%Draw 24%Leganes 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almeria vs Leganes?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Almeria win is the most likely result at 58%.

Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Leganes?

Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Almeria vs Leganes.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Leganes?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Almeria and 0.95 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Almeria and Leganes play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.