Avellino

Sat 10 Oct4-1Finished

Sampdoria

⚽ Serie B

Avellino vs Sampdoria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Avellino vs Sampdoria in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Avellino 4-1 Sampdoria

Avellino vs Sampdoria finished 4-1. Avellino won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Avellino face Sampdoria in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Avellino have 2 wins from their last 5, while Sampdoria have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 35%, implying a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Avellino vs Sampdoria with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Avellino win	35%
Draw	30%
Sampdoria win	35%
Over 2.5 goals	47%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.30 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.7%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%
1	9.7%	12.6%	8.2%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.3%	8.2%	5.3%	2.3%	0.7%
3	2.7%	3.5%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Avellino winDrawSampdoria win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Avellino vs Sampdoria. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Avellino win is the most likely result at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Avellino 35%Draw 30%Sampdoria 35%

35%30%35%

35%

Avellino Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sampdoria. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Ascoli.

WAvellino 4-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WAvellino 3-0 Vicenza VirtusSerie B

Sampdoria

Sampdoria come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Catanzaro. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Avellino.

LAvellino 4-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WSampdoria 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
LMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
LPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LSampdoria 1-2 Juve StabiaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Avellino at 35% to win and Sampdoria at 35%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes an Avellino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Avellino Win	35%	@ 2.60
Sampdoria Win	35%	@ 2.60
Draw	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Avellino or Draw at 1.50 (65% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Avellino or Draw	65%	@ 1.50
Sampdoria or Draw	65%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.95

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Avellino or Sampdoria is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Avellino +1.75	86%	1.10
Sampdoria +1.5	83%	1.14
Avellino +1.5	83%	1.15
Sampdoria +1.25	82%	1.16
Avellino +1.25	80%	1.18
Sampdoria +1	80%	1.20
Sampdoria +0.75	72%	1.33
Avellino +0.75	71%	1.34
Sampdoria +0.5	65%	1.47
Avellino +0.5	64%	1.49
Sampdoria +0.25	59%	1.62
Avellino +0.25	58%	1.64
Avellino 0	50%	1.92
Sampdoria 0	50%	1.93
Sampdoria -0.25	42%	2.29
Avellino -0.25	41%	2.32
Sampdoria -0.5	36%	2.64
Avellino -0.5	35%	2.71
Sampdoria -0.75	29%	3.27
Avellino -0.75	28%	3.35
Avellino -1	20%	4.67
Sampdoria -1.25	20%	4.80
Avellino -1.25	18%	5.25
Sampdoria -1.5	17%	5.50
Avellino -1.5	17%	5.75
Sampdoria -1.75	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Avellino 35%Draw 30%Sampdoria 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Sampdoria?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Avellino win is the most likely result at 35%.

Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Sampdoria?

Our model makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for Avellino vs Sampdoria.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Sampdoria?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Avellino and 1.30 for Sampdoria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Avellino and Sampdoria play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.