Burgos

Mon 12 Oct14:15Upcoming

Granada CF

⚽ Segunda División

Burgos vs Granada CF Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Burgos vs Granada CF in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Burgos face Granada CF in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Burgos have 3 wins from their last 5, while Granada CF have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 39%, implying a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Burgos vs Granada CF with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Burgos win	39%
Draw	30%
Granada CF win	30%
Over 2.5 goals	44%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.30 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	10.0%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
1	11.8%	13.0%	7.1%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.7%	8.4%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.3%	3.7%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Burgos winDrawGranada CF win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Burgos vs Granada CF. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Burgos win is the most likely result at 39%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Burgos 39%Draw 30%Granada CF 30%

39%30%30%

39%

Burgos Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Almeria.

LAlmeria 2-1 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
WLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División

Granada CF

Granada CF come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to FC Andorra.

LGranada CF 2-3 FC AndorraSegunda División
LLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
LEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
WCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Burgos at 39% to win and Granada CF at 30%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Burgos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Burgos Win	39%	@ 2.38
Draw	30%	@ 3.10
Granada CF Win	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burgos or Draw at 1.36 (70% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Burgos or Draw	70%	@ 1.36
Granada CF or Draw	61%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Burgos or Granada CF is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Granada CF +1.75	86%	1.11
Burgos +1.5	86%	1.11
Burgos +1.25	84%	1.12
Burgos +1	83%	1.15
Granada CF +1.5	81%	1.17
Granada CF +1.25	79%	1.21
Granada CF +1	76%	1.25
Burgos +0.75	75%	1.26
Burgos +0.5	69%	1.39
Granada CF +0.75	68%	1.41
Burgos +0.25	63%	1.50
Granada CF +0.5	61%	1.56
Burgos 0	55%	1.73
Granada CF +0.25	54%	1.77
Burgos -0.25	46%	2.09
Granada CF 0	45%	2.13
Burgos -0.5	39%	2.43
Granada CF -0.25	37%	2.61
Burgos -0.75	32%	2.94
Granada CF -0.5	31%	3.02
Granada CF -0.75	25%	3.81
Burgos -1	24%	4.04
Burgos -1.25	21%	4.55
Burgos -1.5	19%	5.00
Granada CF -1	17%	5.58
Granada CF -1.25	16%	6.00
Burgos -1.75	14%	6.60
Granada CF -1.5	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Burgos 39%Draw 30%Granada CF 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Granada CF?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Burgos win is the most likely result at 39%.

Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Granada CF?

Our model makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Burgos vs Granada CF.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Granada CF?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Burgos and 1.10 for Granada CF. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Burgos and Granada CF play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.