Cadiz

Sun 11 Oct0-1Finished

Sporting Gijon

⚽ Segunda División

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cadiz 0-1 Sporting Gijon

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon finished 0-1. Sporting Gijon won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cadiz face Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have 1 win from their last 5, while Sporting Gijon have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Sporting Gijon won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Cadiz win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Cadiz win	38%
Draw	30%
Sporting Gijon win	31%
Over 2.5 goals	45%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.30 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	9.9%	5.7%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.2%	12.9%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.3%	8.4%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.2%	3.6%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Cadiz winDrawSporting Gijon win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Cadiz win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Cadiz 38%Draw 30%Sporting Gijon 31%

38%30%31%

38%

Cadiz Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Cadiz and Sporting Gijon. Wins shown from Cadiz’s perspective: Sporting Gijon 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-11	Cadiz	0 – 1	Sporting Gijon	L
2026-04-19	Sporting Gijon	3 – 0	Cadiz	L

📈 Recent form

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Sporting Gijon.

LCadiz 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WCadiz 4-0 LeganesSegunda División
DTenerife 1-1 CadizSegunda División
LCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División

Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Oviedo.

WCadiz 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
LOviedo 2-0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WFC Andorra 1-3 Sporting GijonSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cadiz at 38% to win and Sporting Gijon at 31%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Cadiz win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Cadiz Win	38%	@ 2.45
Sporting Gijon Win	31%	@ 3.00
Draw	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cadiz or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Cadiz or Draw	69%	@ 1.36
Sporting Gijon or Draw	62%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.70
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	29%	@ 3.25
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

Cadiz 38%Draw 31%Sporting Gijon 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Cadiz win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?

Our model makes a Cadiz win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Cadiz and 1.15 for Sporting Gijon. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cadiz and Sporting Gijon play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.