Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
Thu 17 Sep1-3Finished
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow

⚽ Premier League

Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow in the Premier League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Result: Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA Moscow

Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow finished 1-3. CSKA Moscow won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.29, did not land.

Dinamo Makhachkala face CSKA Moscow in the Premier League, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Dinamo Makhachkala have 2 wins from their last 5, while CSKA Moscow have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.29
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.11 – 1.40 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.1% 11.4% 8.0% 3.7% 1.3%
1 9.0% 12.6% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4%
2 5.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Dinamo Makhachkala winDrawCSKA Moscow win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a CSKA Moscow win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Dinamo Makhachkala 29%Draw 30%CSKA Moscow 42%
29%30%42%
42%
CSKA Moscow Win
54%
Under 2.5 goals

📈 Recent form

Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to CSKA Moscow.

  • LDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LAkhmat 3-2 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • WDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
  • LZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
  • LRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at FC Rostov.

  • WDinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
  • WZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • LFC Rostov 2-0 CSKA MoscowCup
  • DAkron 2-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Dinamo Makhachkala
  • I. ShumakhovKnee Injury
  • T. SundukovSuspended (red card)
CSKA Moscow
  • D. BarinovNot in squad
  • M. GajicKnee Injury
  • Matheus ReisSuspended (red card)
  • MoisesNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dinamo Makhachkala at 29% to win and CSKA Moscow at 42%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
CSKA Moscow Win 42% 43% @ 2.25
Draw 30% 28% @ 3.40
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 29% 29% @ 3.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 76% 74% @ 1.29
Over 1.5 72% 72% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 54% 54% @ 1.79
Over 2.5 46% 46% @ 2.06
Under 1.5 28% 28% @ 3.42
Over 3.5 24% 26% @ 3.69

📈 How the market moved

24%36%47%09/1409/1509/1609/17

Dinamo Makhachkala 29%Draw 28%CSKA Moscow 43%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow?

Our model makes a CSKA Moscow win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.11 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.40 for CSKA Moscow. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dinamo Makhachkala and CSKA Moscow play?

Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.