EldenseEldense
Sat 19 Sep1-2Finished
EibarEibar

⚽ Segunda División

Eldense vs Eibar Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eldense vs Eibar in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Eldense 1-2 Eibar

Eldense vs Eibar finished 1-2. Eibar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Eldense face Eibar in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Eldense have 1 win from their last 5, while Eibar have 3 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eldense vs Eibar with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Eldense win 32%
Draw 30%
Eibar win 38%
Over 2.5 goals 44%
Both teams to score 50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.25 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.1% 11.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9%
1 10.4% 13.0% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1%
2 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6%
3 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Eldense winDrawEibar win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Eldense vs Eibar. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Eibar win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Eldense 32%Draw 30%Eibar 38%
32%30%38%
38%
Eibar Win
56%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Eldense

Eldense come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Sporting Gijon. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Eibar.

  • LEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
  • WSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
  • DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
  • LLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
  • DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División
Eibar

Eibar come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Tenerife.

  • WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
  • WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
  • WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División
  • WEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
  • LEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Eldense at 32% to win and Eibar at 38%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes an Eibar win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Eibar Win 37% @ 2.50
Eldense Win 32% @ 2.90
Draw 30% @ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eibar or Draw at 1.40 (68% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Eibar or Draw 68% @ 1.40
Eldense or Draw 63% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% @ 1.25
Over 1.5 69% @ 1.36
Under 2.5 56% @ 1.67
Over 2.5 44% @ 2.15
Under 1.5 31% @ 3.00
Over 3.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.83
BTTS No 50% @ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

25%34%43%09/1509/1609/1709/1809/19

Eldense 31%Draw 31%Eibar 38%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eldense vs Eibar?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Eibar win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Eibar?

Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Eldense vs Eibar.

What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Eibar?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Eldense and 1.25 for Eibar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Eldense and Eibar play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.