FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
Sat 10 Oct2-0Finished
Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: FC St. Pauli 2-0 Karlsruher SC

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC finished 2-0. FC St. Pauli won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC St. Pauli face Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: FC St. Pauli have 1 win from their last 5, while Karlsruher SC have no wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a FC St. Pauli win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
FC St. Pauli win 55%
Draw 23%
Karlsruher SC win 23%
Over 2.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.05 – 1.30 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.2% 9.3% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9%
3 5.0% 6.5% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6%
4 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Projected score: 2-1
FC St. Pauli winDrawKarlsruher SC win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC. Based on the bookmaker odds, a FC St. Pauli win is the most likely result at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 65%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

FC St. Pauli 55%Draw 23%Karlsruher SC 23%
55%23%23%
55%
FC St. Pauli Win
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Karlsruher SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WFC St. Pauli 2-0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
  • DFC St. Pauli 1-1 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
  • DEnergie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
  • WFC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
  • DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at SV Wehen. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at FC St. Pauli.

  • LFC St. Pauli 2-0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
  • WSV Wehen 1-2 Karlsruher SCFriendlies Clubs
  • LKarlsruher SC 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • LKarlsruher SC 0-3 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
  • DHannover 96 2-2 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC St. Pauli at 55% to win and Karlsruher SC at 23%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a FC St. Pauli win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
FC St. Pauli Win 55% @ 1.70
Draw 23% @ 4.10
Karlsruher SC Win 23% @ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC St. Pauli or Draw at 1.22 (77% market).

Selection Market % Odds
FC St. Pauli or Draw 77% @ 1.22
Karlsruher SC or Draw 45% @ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% @ 1.12
Over 2.5 65% @ 1.44
Under 3.5 56% @ 1.67
Over 3.5 44% @ 2.10
Under 2.5 35% @ 2.70
Under 1.5 16% @ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% @ 1.44
BTTS No 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

18%39%59%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/11

FC St. Pauli 55%Draw 22%Karlsruher SC 23%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a FC St. Pauli win is the most likely result at 55%.

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?

Our model makes a FC St. Pauli win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.05 for FC St. Pauli and 1.30 for Karlsruher SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC St. Pauli and Karlsruher SC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.