Fri 9 Oct3-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Friday 09 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Galatasaray 3-1 Kasımpaşa

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa finished 3-1. Galatasaray won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Galatasaray face Kasımpaşa in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Friday 09 October 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Galatasaray have 4 wins from their last 5, while Kasımpaşa have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Galatasaray won 1, Kasımpaşa won 1. The bookmaker market makes a Galatasaray win the most likely result at 74%, implying a 2.5-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Galatasaray win	74%
Draw	17%
Kasımpaşa win	9%
Over 2.5 goals	65%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.55 – 0.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	8.9%	7.2%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
2	11.4%	9.1%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
3	9.7%	7.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	6.2%	4.9%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Galatasaray winDrawKasımpaşa win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Galatasaray win is the most likely result at 74%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 65%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Galatasaray 74%Draw 17%Kasımpaşa 9%

74%17%9%

74%

Galatasaray Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa. Wins shown from Galatasaray’s perspective: Galatasaray 1 · Kasımpaşa 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-09	Galatasaray	3 – 1	Kasımpaşa	W
2026-05-17	Kasımpaşa	1 – 0	Galatasaray	L

📈 Recent form

Galatasaray

Galatasaray come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Kasımpaşa. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Trabzonspor.

WGalatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
LTrabzonspor 4-0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
WGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
LSporting CP 3-1 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
WBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Gençlerbirliği. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Galatasaray.

LGalatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
WGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Galatasaray

G. GuvencMuscle Injury
W. SingoThigh Injury
L. UgochukwuSuspended (red card)

Kasımpaşa

K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
M. OuanesMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Galatasaray at 74% to win and Kasımpaşa at 9%, with the draw at 17%. The bookmaker market makes a Galatasaray win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Galatasaray Win	74%	@ 1.25
Draw	17%	@ 5.50
Kasımpaşa Win	9%	@ 10.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Galatasaray or Draw at 1.06 (91% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Galatasaray or Draw	91%	@ 1.06
Kasımpaşa or Draw	26%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.5-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Galatasaray or Kasımpaşa is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Galatasaray -0.25	81%	1.17
Galatasaray -0.5	75%	1.26
Galatasaray -0.75	73%	1.29
Galatasaray -1	70%	1.36
Galatasaray -1.25	61%	1.55
Kasımpaşa +2	58%	1.65
Galatasaray -1.5	55%	1.74
Kasımpaşa +1.75	51%	1.90
Galatasaray -1.75	49%	1.94
Kasımpaşa +1.5	45%	2.10
Galatasaray -2	42%	2.24
Kasımpaşa +1.25	39%	2.44
Kasımpaşa +1	30%	3.12
Kasımpaşa +0.75	27%	3.56
Kasımpaşa +0.5	25%	3.70
Kasımpaşa +0.25	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

Galatasaray 75%Draw 16%Kasımpaşa 9%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Galatasaray win is the most likely result at 74%.

Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model makes a Galatasaray win the most likely result at 74%. It projects an expected 2.5-0.8 scoreline for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa.

What is the predicted score for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.55 for Galatasaray and 0.80 for Kasımpaşa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa play?

Kick-off is Friday 09 October 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.