⚽ Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Le Havre face Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Le Havre have no wins from their last 5, while Paris Saint-Germain have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 0.8-2.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain. Wins shown from Le Havre’s perspective: 1 drawn · Paris Saint-Germain 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Le Havre | 0 – 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | L |
| 2025-11-22 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 – 0 | Le Havre | L |
| 2025-04-19 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 – 1 | Le Havre | L |
| 2024-08-16 | Le Havre | 1 – 4 | Paris Saint-Germain | L |
| 2024-04-27 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 – 3 | Le Havre | D |
📈 Recent form
Le Havre come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Auxerre.
- LLe Havre 1-3 AuxerreLigue 1
- LLille 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
- LToulouse 3-2 Le HavreLigue 1
- DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
- LLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
Paris Saint-Germain come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Barcelona. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WParis Saint-Germain 4-2 BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
- WStrasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
- WManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-GermainUEFA Champions League
- WParis Saint-Germain 3-1 Le MansLigue 1
- WMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Le Havre at 9% to win and Paris Saint-Germain at 70%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain Win | 70% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Draw | 21% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
| Le Havre Win | 9% | 9% | @ 11.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.05 (89% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain or Draw | 89% | 91% | @ 1.05 |
| Le Havre or Draw | 28% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-2.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 0.8-2.3 scoreline for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.80 for Le Havre and 2.27 for Paris Saint-Germain. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain play?
Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


