Fri 30 Oct20:05Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Lille vs Lens Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lille vs Lens in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 20:05 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lille face Lens in the Ligue 1, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 20:05 UTC. Recent form: Lille have 3 wins from their last 5, while Lens have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 4, Lens won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lille vs Lens with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	9.3%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
1	10.6%	12.6%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.6%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lille winDrawLens win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lille vs Lens comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Lille 41%Draw 28%Lens 31%

41%28%31%

41%

Lille Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lille and Lens. Wins shown from Lille’s perspective: Lille 4 · Lens 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-04	Lille	3 – 0	Lens	W
2025-09-20	Lens	3 – 0	Lille	L
2025-03-30	Lille	1 – 0	Lens	W
2024-10-26	Lens	0 – 2	Lille	W
2024-03-29	Lille	2 – 1	Lens	W

📈 Recent form

Lille

Lille come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Le Havre. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Galatasaray.

LLille 2-4 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
DLille 1-1 BrestLigue 1
LArsenal 3-0 LilleUEFA Champions League
WLille 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
WLille 2-1 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs

Lens

Lens come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Club Brugge KV.

WLens 2-1 Paris FCLigue 1
LClub Brugge KV 3-0 LensUEFA Champions League
WEstac Troyes 1-3 LensLigue 1
LLens 0-2 Sporting CPUEFA Champions League
WLens 2-1 LyonLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lille at 41% to win and Lens at 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille Win	41%	42%	@ 2.20
Lens Win	31%	32%	@ 2.88
Draw	28%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.40 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille or Draw	68%	68%	@ 1.40
Lens or Draw	58%	58%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 1.5	72%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 2.5	53%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 2.5	47%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 1.5	28%	22%	@ 4.33
Over 3.5	25%	34%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	48%	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lille vs Lens?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Lille vs Lens?

Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Lille vs Lens.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lens?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Lille and 1.19 for Lens. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lille and Lens play?

Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 20:05 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.