⚽ Ligue 1
Nice vs Rennes Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nice vs Rennes in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Nice face Rennes in the Ligue 1, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Nice have 3 wins from their last 5, while Rennes have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nice won 2, Rennes won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.6-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nice vs Rennes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nice vs Rennes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Rennes with a +0.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Rennes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nice and Rennes. Wins shown from Nice’s perspective: Nice 2 · Rennes 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Nice | 0 – 4 | Rennes | L |
| 2025-10-26 | Rennes | 1 – 2 | Nice | W |
| 2025-05-10 | Rennes | 2 – 0 | Nice | L |
| 2025-01-03 | Nice | 3 – 2 | Rennes | W |
| 2024-01-13 | Rennes | 2 – 0 | Nice | L |
📈 Recent form
Nice come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Brest. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lyon.
- WBrest 1-2 NiceLigue 1
- LLyon 2-1 NiceLigue 1
- WNice 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
- WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
- LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
Rennes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Strasbourg. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at Paris FC.
- WRennes 3-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
- DJuventus 2-2 RennesUEFA Europa League
- LParis FC 4-3 RennesLigue 1
- WRennes 2-1 OFIUEFA Europa League
- WRennes 4-1 AuxerreLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. AbergelKnee Injury
- M. BombitoLeg Injury
- A. MendyKnee Injury
- A. SeiduLoan agreement
- A. AbdiMuscle Injury
- E. LepaulAnkle Injury
- B. SambaThigh Injury
🧩 Likely line-ups & team news
Rennes
Coach: F. Haise
Nice
Coach: O. Pantaloni
Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nice at 34% to win and Rennes at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes Win | 37% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Nice Win | 34% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rennes or Draw at 1.44 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes or Draw | 65% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Nice or Draw | 62% | 60% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nice or Rennes is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes +1.75 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Nice +1.75 | 86% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Rennes +1.5 | 85% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Nice +1.5 | 83% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Rennes +1.25 | 80% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Nice +1.25 | 78% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Rennes +1 | 75% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Nice +1 | 72% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Rennes +0.75 | 70% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Nice +0.75 | 67% | 66% | 1.43 |
| Rennes +0.5 | 65% | 65% | 1.48 |
| Nice +0.5 | 62% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Rennes +0.25 | 58% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Nice +0.25 | 55% | 55% | 1.75 |
| Rennes 0 | 52% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Nice 0 | 48% | 47% | 2.06 |
| Rennes -0.25 | 45% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Nice -0.25 | 42% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Rennes -0.5 | 38% | 40% | 2.40 |
| Nice -0.5 | 35% | 35% | 2.71 |
| Rennes -0.75 | 33% | 34% | 2.83 |
| Nice -0.75 | 30% | 29% | @ 3.31 |
| Rennes -1 | 28% | 26% | @ 3.68 |
| Nice -1 | 25% | 22% | @ 4.39 |
| Rennes -1.25 | 23% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Nice -1.25 | 20% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Rennes -1.5 | 17% | 22% | 4.25 |
| Nice -1.5 | 15% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Rennes -1.75 | 14% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Nice -1.75 | 13% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nice vs Rennes?
Our pick is Rennes with a +0.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Nice vs Rennes?
Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline for Nice vs Rennes.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Rennes?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Nice and 1.54 for Rennes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nice and Rennes play?
Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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