Fri 30 Oct19:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SV Elversberg face FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: SV Elversberg have 1 win from their last 5, while FSV Mainz 05 have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SV Elversberg win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 2.3-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.50

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.32 – 2.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.2%	2.5%	2.7%	1.9%	1.0%
1	2.7%	5.8%	6.1%	4.3%	2.3%
2	3.2%	6.7%	7.1%	5.0%	2.7%
3	2.5%	5.2%	5.5%	3.9%	2.1%
4	1.4%	3.0%	3.2%	2.3%	1.2%

Projected score: 2-2

SV Elversberg winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SV Elversberg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (82%), both teams to score points yes (79%).

📊 Key numbers

SV Elversberg 41%Draw 22%FSV Mainz 05 38%

41%22%38%

41%

SV Elversberg Win

82%

Over 2.5 goals

79%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to FC Augsburg. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at RB Leipzig.

LRB Leipzig 4-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
WSV Elversberg 4-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
LUnion Berlin 1-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Waldhof Mannheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Werder Bremen.

LFSV Mainz 05 2-3 Werder BremenBundesliga
WFC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LFSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WWaldhof Mannheim 0-3 FSV Mainz 05Friendlies Clubs
WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SV Elversberg at 41% to win and FSV Mainz 05 at 38%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a SV Elversberg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SV Elversberg Win	41%	29%	@ 3.20
FSV Mainz 05 Win	38%	46%	@ 2.05
Draw	22%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SV Elversberg or Draw at 1.73 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SV Elversberg or Draw	65%	54%	@ 1.73
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw	62%	71%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 82% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	94%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	82%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	65%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 3.5	35%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	18%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	6%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 79%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	79%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	21%	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our model makes a SV Elversberg win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 2.3-2.1 scoreline for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05.

What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.32 for SV Elversberg and 2.12 for FSV Mainz 05. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 play?

Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.