Palermo

Sat 19 Sep2-1Finished

Padova

⚽ Serie B

Palermo vs Padova Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Palermo vs Padova in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Palermo 2-1 Padova

Palermo vs Padova finished 2-1. Palermo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Palermo face Padova in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Palermo have 3 wins from their last 4, while Padova have 2 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 60%, implying a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Palermo vs Padova with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Palermo win	60%
Draw	24%
Padova win	16%
Over 2.5 goals	55%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.95 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	5.2%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.7%	10.2%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
2	10.5%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.8%	6.5%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.3%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Palermo winDrawPadova win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Palermo vs Padova. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Palermo win is the most likely result at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Palermo 60%Draw 24%Padova 16%

60%24%16%

60%

Palermo Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Mantova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B

Padova

Padova come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ascoli. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Palermo.

LPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
WPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
LCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
WPisa 0-1 PadovaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Palermo at 60% to win and Padova at 16%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a Palermo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Palermo Win	60%	@ 1.55
Draw	24%	@ 3.90
Padova Win	16%	@ 5.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palermo or Draw at 1.14 (84% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Palermo or Draw	84%	@ 1.14
Padova or Draw	40%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.70
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.95

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Padova?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Palermo win is the most likely result at 60%.

Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Padova?

Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Palermo vs Padova.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Padova?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Palermo and 0.95 for Padova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Palermo and Padova play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.