Wed 28 Oct22:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Bragantino face Chapecoense in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Wednesday 28 October 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5, while Chapecoense have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 2.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.11 – 0.83 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	4.4%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
1	11.2%	9.3%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.8%	9.8%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	8.3%	6.9%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.4%	3.6%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

RB Bragantino winDrawChapecoense win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Bragantino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (50%).

📊 Key numbers

RB Bragantino 66%Draw 24%Chapecoense 11%

66%24%11%

66%

RB Bragantino Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Cruzeiro. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Palmeiras.

LPalmeiras 2-0 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DRemo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 4-2 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
DRB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LAtlético Mineiro 1-0 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A

Chapecoense

Chapecoense come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Fluminense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Botafogo.

WChapecoense 2-1 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
LBotafogo 1-0 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
LChapecoense 1-4 Athletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
LVitória 4-0 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
DAtletico Nacional 1-1 ChapecoenseFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Bragantino at 66% to win and Chapecoense at 11%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino Win	66%	71%	@ 1.30
Draw	24%	19%	@ 5.00
Chapecoense Win	11%	10%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Bragantino or Draw at 1.07 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino or Draw	87%	90%	@ 1.07
Chapecoense or Draw	32%	29%	@ 3.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	66%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	56%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	44%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	34%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	21%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	50%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	50%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

RB Bragantino 73%Draw 17%Chapecoense 10%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.11 for RB Bragantino and 0.83 for Chapecoense. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Bragantino and Chapecoense play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 28 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.