Rodina Moskva

Wed 16 Sep1-1Finished

Rubin

⚽ Premier League

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin in the Premier League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Rodina Moskva 1-1 Rubin

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.34, landed.

Rodina Moskva face Rubin in the Premier League, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 15:30 UTC. Recent form: Rodina Moskva have 1 win from their last 5, while Rubin have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Rodina Moskva won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 1.0-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.97 – 2.48 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	7.9%	9.8%	8.1%	5.0%
1	3.1%	7.6%	9.5%	7.8%	4.9%
2	1.5%	3.7%	4.6%	3.8%	2.4%
3	0.5%	1.2%	1.5%	1.2%	0.8%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%

Projected score: 0-2

Rodina Moskva winDrawRubin win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a Rubin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Rodina Moskva 12%Draw 19%Rubin 70%

12%19%70%

70%

Rubin Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rodina Moskva and Rubin. Wins shown from Rodina Moskva’s perspective: Rodina Moskva 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-16	Rodina Moskva	1 – 1	Rubin	D
2026-08-04	Rodina Moskva	5 – 0	Rubin	W

📈 Recent form

Rodina Moskva

Rodina Moskva come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Krylia Sovetov.

DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
LKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LDinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LSpartak Moscow 3-1 Rodina MoskvaCup
LRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

Rubin

Rubin come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DRodina Moskva 1-1 RubinPremier League
DCSKA Moscow 1-1 RubinPremier League
DRubin 1-1 AkhmatPremier League
DFC Orenburg 1-1 RubinCup
WRubin 3-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Rodina Moskva

I. PozoSuspended (cards)

Rubin

D. ShabanhaxhajNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rodina Moskva at 12% to win and Rubin at 70%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rubin Win	70%	40%	@ 2.43
Draw	19%	30%	@ 3.23
Rodina Moskva Win	12%	31%	@ 3.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	71%	@ 1.35
Over 2.5	67%	45%	@ 2.14
Under 3.5	55%	75%	@ 1.27
Over 3.5	45%	25%	@ 3.83
Under 2.5	33%	55%	@ 1.74
Under 1.5	14%	29%	@ 3.26

📈 How the market moved

Rodina Moskva 31%Draw 30%Rubin 40%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

Our model makes a Rubin win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 1.0-2.5 scoreline for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.97 for Rodina Moskva and 2.48 for Rubin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rodina Moskva and Rubin play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.