TenerifeTenerife
Mon 12 Oct19:00Upcoming
GironaGirona

⚽ Segunda División

Tenerife vs Girona Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tenerife vs Girona in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Tenerife face Girona in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Tenerife have 1 win from their last 5, while Girona have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Girona win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tenerife vs Girona with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Tenerife win 34%
Draw 30%
Girona win 36%
Over 2.5 goals 44%
Both teams to score 50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.25 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.6% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9%
1 10.4% 12.9% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1%
2 6.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Tenerife winDrawGirona win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Tenerife vs Girona. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Girona win is the most likely result at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Tenerife 34%Draw 30%Girona 36%
34%30%36%
36%
Girona Win
56%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Tenerife

Tenerife come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Cordoba.

  • LCordoba 3-2 TenerifeSegunda División
  • DTenerife 1-1 CadizSegunda División
  • LCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
  • WTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
  • LTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
Girona

Girona come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Albacete. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Castellón.

  • DGirona 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
  • WGirona 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • WCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
  • LGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
  • WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Tenerife at 34% to win and Girona at 36%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Girona win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Girona Win 36% @ 2.60
Tenerife Win 34% @ 2.80
Draw 30% @ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Girona or Draw at 1.40 (66% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Girona or Draw 66% @ 1.40
Tenerife or Draw 64% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% @ 1.25
Over 1.5 69% @ 1.36
Under 2.5 56% @ 1.67
Over 2.5 44% @ 2.15
Under 1.5 31% @ 3.00
Over 3.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.83
BTTS No 50% @ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Tenerife or Girona is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Tenerife +1.75 86% 1.10
Girona +1.5 84% 1.13
Girona +1.25 83% 1.15
Tenerife +1.5 83% 1.15
Tenerife +1.25 81% 1.17
Tenerife +1 79% 1.21
Girona +0.75 73% 1.30
Tenerife +0.75 70% 1.35
Girona +0.5 66% 1.44
Tenerife +0.5 64% 1.50
Girona +0.25 60% 1.58
Tenerife +0.25 57% 1.67
Girona 0 52% 1.83
Tenerife 0 48% 2.02
Girona -0.25 43% 2.23
Tenerife -0.25 40% 2.41
Girona -0.5 36% 2.63
Tenerife -0.5 34% 2.83
Girona -0.75 30% 3.19
Tenerife -0.75 27% 3.56
Girona -1 21% 4.51
Girona -1.25 19% 5.00
Tenerife -1.25 17% 5.50
Girona -1.5 17% 5.50
Tenerife -1.5 16% 5.90
Girona -1.75 14% 7.00

📈 How the market moved

26%34%42%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/1110/12

Tenerife 33%Draw 31%Girona 36%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Girona?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Girona win is the most likely result at 36%.

Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Girona?

Our model makes a Girona win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Tenerife vs Girona.

What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Girona?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Tenerife and 1.25 for Girona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tenerife and Girona play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.