Tenerife
Girona⚽ Segunda División
Tenerife vs Girona Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tenerife vs Girona in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Tenerife face Girona in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Tenerife have 1 win from their last 5, while Girona have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Girona win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tenerife vs Girona with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 34% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Girona win | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Tenerife vs Girona. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Girona win is the most likely result at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Tenerife come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Cordoba.
- LCordoba 3-2 TenerifeSegunda División
- DTenerife 1-1 CadizSegunda División
- LCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
- WTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
- LTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
Girona come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Albacete. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Castellón.
- DGirona 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
- WGirona 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
- WCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
- LGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
- WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Tenerife at 34% to win and Girona at 36%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Girona win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Girona Win | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Tenerife Win | 34% | @ 2.80 |
| Draw | 30% | @ 3.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Girona or Draw at 1.40 (66% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Girona or Draw | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Tenerife or Draw | 64% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 50% | @ 1.83 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Tenerife or Girona is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife +1.75 | 86% | 1.10 |
| Girona +1.5 | 84% | 1.13 |
| Girona +1.25 | 83% | 1.15 |
| Tenerife +1.5 | 83% | 1.15 |
| Tenerife +1.25 | 81% | 1.17 |
| Tenerife +1 | 79% | 1.21 |
| Girona +0.75 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Tenerife +0.75 | 70% | 1.35 |
| Girona +0.5 | 66% | 1.44 |
| Tenerife +0.5 | 64% | 1.50 |
| Girona +0.25 | 60% | 1.58 |
| Tenerife +0.25 | 57% | 1.67 |
| Girona 0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Tenerife 0 | 48% | 2.02 |
| Girona -0.25 | 43% | 2.23 |
| Tenerife -0.25 | 40% | 2.41 |
| Girona -0.5 | 36% | 2.63 |
| Tenerife -0.5 | 34% | 2.83 |
| Girona -0.75 | 30% | 3.19 |
| Tenerife -0.75 | 27% | 3.56 |
| Girona -1 | 21% | 4.51 |
| Girona -1.25 | 19% | 5.00 |
| Tenerife -1.25 | 17% | 5.50 |
| Girona -1.5 | 17% | 5.50 |
| Tenerife -1.5 | 16% | 5.90 |
| Girona -1.75 | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Girona?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Girona win is the most likely result at 36%.
Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Girona?
Our model makes a Girona win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Tenerife vs Girona.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Girona?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Tenerife and 1.25 for Girona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Tenerife and Girona play?
Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
