ValladolidValladolid
Mon 12 Oct12:00Upcoming
AlbaceteAlbacete

⚽ Segunda División

Valladolid vs Albacete Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Valladolid vs Albacete in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Valladolid face Albacete in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Valladolid have 2 wins from their last 5, while Albacete have no wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Valladolid win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Valladolid vs Albacete with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Valladolid win 47%
Draw 28%
Albacete win 25%
Over 2.5 goals 49%
Both teams to score 54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.55 – 1.05 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 11.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6%
2 8.9% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
3 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Valladolid winDrawAlbacete win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Valladolid vs Albacete. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Valladolid win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Valladolid 47%Draw 28%Albacete 25%
47%28%25%
47%
Valladolid Win
51%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Valladolid

Valladolid come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Cordoba. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Oviedo.

  • DLas Palmas 2-2 ValladolidSegunda División
  • WValladolid 3-1 CordobaSegunda División
  • DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
  • LValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
  • WValladolid 1-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
Albacete

Albacete come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Eibar.

  • LAlbacete 1-3 EibarSegunda División
  • LGirona 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • LAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
  • DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • LCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Valladolid at 47% to win and Albacete at 25%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Valladolid win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Valladolid Win 47% @ 2.00
Draw 28% @ 3.30
Albacete Win 25% @ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Valladolid or Draw at 1.25 (75% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Valladolid or Draw 75% @ 1.25
Albacete or Draw 53% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 73% @ 1.28
Under 3.5 71% @ 1.33
Under 2.5 51% @ 1.85
Over 2.5 49% @ 1.95
Over 3.5 29% @ 3.25
Under 1.5 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 46% @ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Valladolid or Albacete is a clear favourite.

Selection Market % Odds
Albacete +2 86% 1.11
Valladolid +0.75 80% 1.18
Albacete +1.75 79% 1.20
Albacete +1.5 74% 1.29
Valladolid +0.25 72% 1.32
Albacete +1.25 70% 1.36
Valladolid 0 67% 1.43
Albacete +1 66% 1.44
Albacete +0.75 58% 1.65
Valladolid -0.25 56% 1.71
Albacete +0.5 52% 1.85
Valladolid -0.5 48% 2.00
Albacete +0.25 44% 2.16
Valladolid -0.75 42% 2.29
Valladolid -1 34% 2.83
Albacete 0 33% 2.88
Valladolid -1.25 30% 3.19
Albacete -0.25 28% 3.44
Valladolid -1.5 26% 3.62
Valladolid -1.75 21% 4.40
Albacete -0.75 20% 4.80
Valladolid -2 14% 6.60

📈 How the market moved

19%36%52%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/1110/12

Valladolid 47%Draw 29%Albacete 24%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Albacete?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Valladolid win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Albacete?

Our model makes a Valladolid win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Valladolid vs Albacete.

What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Albacete?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Valladolid and 1.05 for Albacete. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Valladolid and Albacete play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.