⚽ Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Standard Liège Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gent vs Standard Liège in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Friday 18 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Gent 2-1 Standard Liège
Gent vs Standard Liège finished 2-1. Gent won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
Gent face Standard Liège in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Friday 18 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Gent have 5 wins from their last 5, while Standard Liège have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Gent won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Gent win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gent vs Standard Liège with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Gent vs Standard Liège comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Standard Liège with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Gent win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Gent and Standard Liège. Wins shown from Gent’s perspective: Gent 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Gent | 2 – 1 | Standard Liège | W |
| 2024-12-22 | Standard Liège | 0 – 1 | Gent | W |
| 2024-11-10 | Gent | 5 – 0 | Standard Liège | W |
| 2024-05-18 | Standard Liège | 1 – 4 | Gent | W |
| 2024-03-29 | Gent | 5 – 1 | Standard Liège | W |
📈 Recent form
Gent come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cercle Brugge. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
- WCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
- WGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- WGent 2-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
Standard Liège come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Gent.
- LGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- LKVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- WOH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
- WStandard Liège 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Gent at 43% to win and Standard Liège at 30%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Gent win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent Win | 43% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Standard Liège Win | 30% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gent or Draw at 1.22 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent or Draw | 69% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Standard Liège or Draw | 57% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gent or Standard Liège is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège +2 | 86% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Standard Liège +1.75 | 82% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Standard Liège +1.5 | 79% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| Gent +0.75 | 74% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Standard Liège +1.25 | 74% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| Gent +0.5 | 69% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Standard Liège +1 | 68% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Gent +0.25 | 63% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Standard Liège +0.75 | 62% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Standard Liège +0.5 | 57% | 47% | @ 2.06 |
| Gent 0 | 56% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Standard Liège +0.25 | 50% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Gent -0.25 | 50% | 61% | 1.57 |
| Standard Liège 0 | 44% | 29% | @ 3.27 |
| Gent -0.5 | 43% | 53% | 1.79 |
| Gent -0.75 | 38% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Standard Liège -0.25 | 37% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
| Gent -1 | 32% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Standard Liège -0.5 | 31% | 22% | @ 4.29 |
| Gent -1.25 | 26% | 33% | 2.86 |
| Standard Liège -0.75 | 26% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Gent -1.5 | 21% | 29% | 3.27 |
| Gent -1.75 | 18% | 24% | 4.04 |
| Gent -2 | 14% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gent vs Standard Liège?
Our model's main pick is Standard Liège with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Gent vs Standard Liège?
Our model makes a Gent win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Gent vs Standard Liège.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs Standard Liège?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Gent and 1.15 for Standard Liège. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Gent and Standard Liège play?
Kick-off is Friday 18 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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