Sat 19 Sep0-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Udinese vs Cagliari Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Udinese vs Cagliari in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Udinese 0-1 Cagliari

Udinese vs Cagliari finished 0-1. Cagliari won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.44, did not land.

Udinese face Cagliari in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Udinese have 1 win from their last 3, while Cagliari have 3 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Udinese won 3, Cagliari won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Udinese vs Cagliari with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	9.8%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
1	12.0%	12.9%	7.0%	2.5%	0.7%
2	7.9%	8.5%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%
3	3.5%	3.8%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Udinese winDrawCagliari win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Udinese vs Cagliari comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates an Udinese win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Udinese 40%Draw 28%Cagliari 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Udinese Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Udinese and Cagliari. Wins shown from Udinese’s perspective: Udinese 3 · 1 drawn · Cagliari 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Udinese	0 – 1	Cagliari	L
2026-05-09	Cagliari	0 – 2	Udinese	W
2025-10-05	Udinese	1 – 1	Cagliari	D
2025-05-03	Cagliari	1 – 2	Udinese	W
2024-10-25	Udinese	2 – 0	Cagliari	W

📈 Recent form

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Venezia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cagliari.

LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
LUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
WUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
WMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A

Cagliari

Cagliari come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Udinese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hellas Verona.

WUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
WAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
WCagliari 1-0 LecceSerie A
LCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
LCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Udinese

J. ArizalaThigh Injury
M. PalmaMuscle Injury
J. PiotrowskiHeart Problems
O. SoletInjury

Cagliari

M. FeliciKnee Injury
R. IdrissiKnee Injury
M. NzolaLacking Match Fitness
Y. TrepyInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Udinese at 40% to win and Cagliari at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Udinese Win	40%	43%	@ 2.20
Cagliari Win	32%	28%	@ 3.40
Draw	28%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Udinese or Draw at 1.33 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Udinese or Draw	68%	72%	@ 1.33
Cagliari or Draw	59%	57%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	75%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	69%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	57%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	43%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	31%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	22%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	48%	50%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Udinese or Cagliari is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cagliari +1.75	84%	83%	1.14
Udinese +1.25	82%	86%	1.10
Cagliari +1.5	81%	78%	1.21
Udinese +1	77%	85%	1.12
Cagliari +1.25	75%	76%	1.25
Udinese +0.75	72%	–	1.23
Cagliari +1	70%	73%	1.31
Udinese +0.5	68%	72%	1.33
Cagliari +0.75	64%	64%	1.50
Udinese +0.25	61%	67%	1.43
Cagliari +0.5	59%	57%	1.67
Udinese 0	54%	60%	1.59
Cagliari +0.25	52%	50%	@ 1.94
Udinese -0.25	48%	50%	1.93
Cagliari 0	46%	40%	@ 2.41
Udinese -0.5	41%	43%	2.23
Cagliari -0.25	39%	33%	@ 2.86
Udinese -0.75	36%	36%	2.66
Cagliari -0.5	33%	28%	@ 3.38
Udinese -1	30%	27%	@ 3.52
Udinese -1.25	25%	24%	4.00
Cagliari -1	23%	15%	@ 6.25
Udinese -1.5	19%	22%	4.25
Cagliari -1.25	18%	14%	@ 6.80
Udinese -1.75	16%	17%	5.75

📈 How the market moved

Udinese 43%Draw 29%Cagliari 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Udinese vs Cagliari?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Cagliari?

Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Udinese vs Cagliari.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Cagliari?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Udinese and 1.08 for Cagliari. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Udinese and Cagliari play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.