Sat 19 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Serie A

Bologna vs Torino Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bologna vs Torino in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Result: Bologna 1-1 Torino

Bologna vs Torino finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Torino Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.30, landed.

Bologna face Torino in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Bologna have 0 wins from their last 4, while Torino have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Bologna won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bologna win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bologna vs Torino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Torino Asian Handicap +1.5 @ 1.30
73%Bookmaker odds imply 77%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.07 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.9% 7.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
1 11.0% 11.8% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6%
2 8.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
3 4.8% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Bologna winDrawTorino win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bologna vs Torino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Torino Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a Bologna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Bologna 49%Draw 28%Torino 24%
49%28%24%
49%
Bologna Win
50%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bologna and Torino. Wins shown from Bologna’s perspective: Bologna 3 · 2 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-19 Bologna 1 – 1 Torino D
2026-02-15 Torino 1 – 2 Bologna W
2025-10-29 Bologna 0 – 0 Torino D
2025-02-14 Bologna 3 – 2 Torino W
2024-12-21 Torino 0 – 2 Bologna W

📈 Recent form

Bologna

Bologna come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Napoli.

  • DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
  • LNapoli 1-0 BolognaSerie A
  • DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
  • LAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
  • LBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A
Torino

Torino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.

  • DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
  • LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
  • WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
  • LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
  • LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bologna
  • A. DovbykMuscle Injury
Torino
  • C. AdamsMuscle Injury
  • F. IsraelShoulder Injury
  • P. PellegriKnee Injury
  • C. CasadeiRest

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bologna at 49% to win and Torino at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Bologna win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bologna Win 49% 49% @ 1.91
Draw 28% 27% @ 3.50
Torino Win 24% 24% @ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bologna or Draw at 1.22 (75% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bologna or Draw 75% 76% @ 1.22
Torino or Draw 50% 51% @ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% 73% @ 1.30
Under 3.5 72% 73% @ 1.30
Over 2.5 50% 47% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 50% 53% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 28% 27% @ 3.50
Under 1.5 25% 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 52% 52% @ 1.80
BTTS No 48% 48% @ 1.95

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bologna or Torino is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Torino +2 82% 86% 1.10
Bologna +0.75 79% 82% 1.16
Torino +1.75 78% 79% 1.20
Bologna +0.5 75% 76% 1.26
Torino +1.5 74% 73% 1.30
Bologna +0.25 69% 73% 1.31
Torino +1.25 68% 70% 1.35
Bologna 0 62% 67% 1.42
Torino +1 62% 66% 1.44
Bologna -0.25 56% 57% 1.68
Torino +0.75 56% 57% 1.67
Bologna -0.5 50% 49% 1.97
Torino +0.5 50% 51% 1.91
Bologna -0.75 44% 43% 2.25
Torino +0.25 44% 43% 2.23
Bologna -1 38% 34% @ 2.82
Torino 0 38% 33% @ 2.92
Bologna -1.25 32% 30% @ 3.21
Torino -0.25 31% 27% @ 3.48
Bologna -1.5 26% 27% 3.59
Torino -0.5 25% 24% 3.92
Bologna -1.75 22% 21% 4.40
Torino -0.75 21% 18% @ 5.25
Bologna -2 19% 14% @ 6.80

📈 How the market moved

19%37%54%09/1409/1509/1609/1709/1809/19

Bologna 49%Draw 27%Torino 24%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bologna vs Torino?

Our model's main pick is Torino Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Torino?

Our model makes a Bologna win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Bologna vs Torino.

What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Torino?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Bologna and 1.07 for Torino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bologna and Torino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.