Sat 19 Sep3-2Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Werder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg finished 3-2. Werder Bremen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.62, did not land.

Werder Bremen face FC Augsburg in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Werder Bremen have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Augsburg have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 1, FC Augsburg won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Augsburg +1.25 @ 1.27

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.50 – 1.49 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	7.5%	5.6%	2.8%	1.0%
1	7.5%	11.2%	8.4%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.7%	8.4%	6.3%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.8%	4.2%	3.1%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Werder Bremen winDrawFC Augsburg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Augsburg with a +1.25 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Augsburg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Werder Bremen 35%Draw 28%FC Augsburg 38%

35%28%38%

38%

FC Augsburg Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg. Wins shown from Werder Bremen’s perspective: Werder Bremen 1 · 2 drawn · FC Augsburg 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	Werder Bremen	3 – 2	FC Augsburg	W
2026-05-02	Werder Bremen	1 – 3	FC Augsburg	L
2025-12-20	FC Augsburg	0 – 0	Werder Bremen	D
2025-01-19	Werder Bremen	0 – 2	FC Augsburg	L
2024-08-24	FC Augsburg	2 – 2	Werder Bremen	D

📈 Recent form

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Lüneburger SK Hansa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at SC Freiburg.

WWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WLüneburger SK Hansa 0-3 Werder BremenDFB Pokal

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Werder Bremen.

LWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga
WFC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
WEnergie Cottbus 0-2 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Werder Bremen

F. AguCalf Injury
M. N'DiayeGroin Injury
J. NjinmahThigh Injury
J. StageMuscle Injury
K. ToppKnee Injury
S. LynenHip Injury

FC Augsburg

T. BreithauptInjury
A. KadeInjury
S. MounieInjury
F. SakarAnkle Injury
T. SchnitzerInjury
S. SusoMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Werder Bremen at 35% to win and FC Augsburg at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Augsburg Win	38%	35%	@ 2.70
Werder Bremen Win	35%	40%	@ 2.35
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Augsburg or Draw at 1.57 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Augsburg or Draw	64%	60%	@ 1.57
Werder Bremen or Draw	62%	65%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	85%	@ 1.11
Under 3.5	65%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	58%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	42%	32%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	35%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	20%	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	69%	@ 1.36
BTTS No	40%	31%	@ 3.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Werder Bremen or FC Augsburg is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Augsburg +1.75	87%	83%	@ 1.15
Werder Bremen +1.75	86%	85%	1.12
FC Augsburg +1.5	84%	77%	@ 1.22
Werder Bremen +1.5	83%	80%	1.18
FC Augsburg +1.25	80%	75%	@ 1.27
Werder Bremen +1.25	78%	79%	1.20
FC Augsburg +1	74%	73%	1.31
Werder Bremen +1	72%	78%	1.24
FC Augsburg +0.75	70%	65%	@ 1.46
Werder Bremen +0.75	67%	70%	1.35
FC Augsburg +0.5	64%	60%	@ 1.60
Werder Bremen +0.5	62%	64%	1.49
FC Augsburg +0.25	58%	54%	@ 1.77
Werder Bremen +0.25	55%	60%	1.60
FC Augsburg 0	51%	47%	@ 2.07
Werder Bremen 0	49%	53%	1.81
FC Augsburg -0.25	45%	40%	@ 2.38
Werder Bremen -0.25	42%	46%	2.08
FC Augsburg -0.5	38%	36%	@ 2.67
Werder Bremen -0.5	36%	40%	2.38
FC Augsburg -0.75	33%	30%	@ 3.21
Werder Bremen -0.75	30%	35%	2.75
FC Augsburg -1	28%	22%	@ 4.25
Werder Bremen -1	26%	27%	3.50
FC Augsburg -1.25	22%	21%	4.40
Werder Bremen -1.25	20%	25%	3.81
FC Augsburg -1.5	17%	20%	4.80
Werder Bremen -1.5	16%	23%	4.15
FC Augsburg -1.75	14%	15%	6.25
Werder Bremen -1.75	13%	17%	5.50

📈 How the market moved

Werder Bremen 40%Draw 25%FC Augsburg 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

Our model's main pick is FC Augsburg with a +1.25 start at odds 1.27, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

Our model makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg.

What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Werder Bremen and 1.49 for FC Augsburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.