Sat 19 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

AS Roma vs Inter Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AS Roma vs Inter in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: AS Roma 2-2 Inter

AS Roma vs Inter finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Inter or Draw at 1.50, landed.

AS Roma face Inter in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: AS Roma have 3 wins from their last 3, while Inter have 3 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 1, Inter won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AS Roma vs Inter with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Inter +0.75 @ 1.36

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.38 – 1.51 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	8.4%	6.3%	3.2%	1.2%
1	7.7%	11.6%	8.7%	4.4%	1.7%
2	5.3%	8.0%	6.0%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.4%	3.7%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.8%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

AS Roma winDrawInter win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AS Roma vs Inter comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Inter with a +0.75 start at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

AS Roma 30%Draw 26%Inter 44%

30%26%44%

44%

Inter Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between AS Roma and Inter. Wins shown from AS Roma’s perspective: AS Roma 1 · 1 drawn · Inter 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-19	AS Roma	2 – 2	Inter	D
2026-04-05	Inter	5 – 2	AS Roma	L
2025-10-18	AS Roma	0 – 1	Inter	L
2025-04-27	Inter	0 – 1	AS Roma	W
2024-10-20	AS Roma	0 – 1	Inter	L

📈 Recent form

AS Roma

AS Roma come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lecce. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
WAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A

Inter

Inter come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-3 at home to Udinese. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Real Madrid.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
LReal Madrid 2-1 InterUEFA Champions League
WInter 3-2 NapoliSerie A
WCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

AS Roma

M. BahKnee Injury

Inter

H. CalhanogluMuscle Injury
D. SpenceInjury
J. StonesInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AS Roma at 30% to win and Inter at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter Win	44%	37%	@ 2.55
AS Roma Win	30%	35%	@ 2.70
Draw	26%	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.44 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter or Draw	70%	65%	@ 1.44
AS Roma or Draw	56%	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	67%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	55%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	45%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	33%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	22%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	42%	38%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when AS Roma or Inter is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter +1.75	90%	86%	1.11
Inter +1.5	88%	81%	@ 1.17
Inter +1.25	83%	79%	1.19
AS Roma +1.75	82%	85%	1.12
Inter +1	79%	78%	1.23
AS Roma +1.5	79%	80%	1.18
Inter +0.75	74%	70%	@ 1.36
AS Roma +1.25	73%	79%	1.20
Inter +0.5	70%	64%	@ 1.50
AS Roma +1	68%	–	1.24
Inter +0.25	63%	58%	@ 1.65
AS Roma +0.75	62%	69%	1.38
Inter 0	57%	51%	@ 1.91
AS Roma +0.5	56%	63%	1.51
Inter -0.25	50%	42%	@ 2.25
AS Roma +0.25	50%	58%	1.67
Inter -0.5	44%	37%	@ 2.58
AS Roma 0	43%	49%	1.97
Inter -0.75	38%	31%	@ 3.12
AS Roma -0.25	37%	42%	2.29
AS Roma -0.5	30%	36%	2.64
Inter -1.25	27%	21%	@ 4.40
AS Roma -0.75	26%	30%	3.17
AS Roma -1	21%	22%	4.29
Inter -1.5	21%	20%	@ 4.80
Inter -1.75	18%	15%	@ 6.40
AS Roma -1.25	17%	21%	4.50
AS Roma -1.5	12%	19%	5.00
AS Roma -1.75	10%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

AS Roma 36%Draw 28%Inter 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AS Roma vs Inter?

Our model's main pick is Inter with a +0.75 start at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Inter?

Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for AS Roma vs Inter.

What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Inter?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for AS Roma and 1.51 for Inter. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AS Roma and Inter play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.