Sat 19 Sep5-0Finished

⚽ La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander finished 5-0. Celta Vigo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.44, did not land.

Celta Vigo face Racing Santander in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Celta Vigo have 0 wins from their last 5, while Racing Santander have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Racing Santander +1.75 @ 1.26

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.50 – 1.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.9%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%
1	9.2%	11.9%	7.7%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	8.9%	5.7%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.5%	4.5%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Celta Vigo winDrawRacing Santander win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Racing Santander with a +1.75 start at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Celta Vigo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Celta Vigo 48%Draw 26%Racing Santander 26%

48%26%26%

48%

Celta Vigo Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.

WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga

Racing Santander

Racing Santander come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Celta Vigo.

LCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LBarcelona 7-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
LRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 3-2 ElcheLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Celta Vigo

A. AntanonAnkle Injury
I. AspasMuscle Injury
J. El AbdellaouiKnee Injury

Racing Santander

S. ErikssonShoulder Injury
A. MartinKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celta Vigo at 48% to win and Racing Santander at 26%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celta Vigo Win	48%	52%	@ 1.80
Racing Santander Win	26%	23%	@ 4.10
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.22 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celta Vigo or Draw	74%	77%	@ 1.22
Racing Santander or Draw	52%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	69%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	53%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	47%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	31%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	23%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	44%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celta Vigo or Racing Santander is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander +2	83%	82%	1.16
Racing Santander +1.75	79%	75%	1.26
Celta Vigo +0.75	78%	82%	1.16
Racing Santander +1.5	75%	69%	@ 1.38
Celta Vigo +0.5	74%	76%	1.25
Racing Santander +1.25	69%	65%	@ 1.46
Celta Vigo +0.25	67%	73%	1.29
Racing Santander +1	64%	61%	@ 1.57
Celta Vigo 0	61%	70%	1.37
Racing Santander +0.75	58%	53%	@ 1.81
Celta Vigo -0.25	55%	60%	1.59
Racing Santander +0.5	52%	47%	@ 2.06
Celta Vigo -0.5	48%	53%	1.81
Racing Santander +0.25	45%	40%	@ 2.40
Celta Vigo -0.75	42%	47%	2.04
Racing Santander 0	39%	30%	@ 3.13
Celta Vigo -1	36%	39%	2.43
Racing Santander -0.25	33%	27%	@ 3.59
Celta Vigo -1.25	31%	35%	2.77
Racing Santander -0.5	26%	24%	@ 4.00
Celta Vigo -1.5	25%	31%	3.10
Racing Santander -0.75	22%	18%	@ 5.25
Celta Vigo -1.75	21%	25%	3.85
Celta Vigo -2	17%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Celta Vigo 53%Draw 24%Racing Santander 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Our model's main pick is Racing Santander with a +1.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Celta Vigo and 1.29 for Racing Santander. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celta Vigo and Racing Santander play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.