Sat 19 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Angers vs Estac Troyes Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Angers vs Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Angers 2-0 Estac Troyes

Angers vs Estac Troyes finished 2-0. Angers won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.36, landed.

Angers face Estac Troyes in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Angers have 1 win from their last 4, while Estac Troyes have 1 win from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Estac Troyes win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Angers vs Estac Troyes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Estac Troyes +1.25 @ 1.29

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.21 – 1.54 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	9.8%	7.6%	3.9%	1.5%
1	7.7%	11.9%	9.2%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.7%	7.2%	5.5%	2.8%	1.1%
3	1.9%	2.9%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Angers winDrawEstac Troyes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Angers vs Estac Troyes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Estac Troyes with a +1.25 start at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates an Estac Troyes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Angers 34%Draw 30%Estac Troyes 36%

34%30%36%

36%

Estac Troyes Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Angers

Angers come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rennes.

WAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1
WAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 0-2 LilleLigue 1

Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Lorient. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Angers.

LAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
WLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Angers

L. MoutonNot in squad

Estac Troyes

I. BouraInjury
P. GozziMuscle Injury
M. IfnaouiInjury
A. PhliponeauKnee Injury
Y. TitiInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Angers at 34% to win and Estac Troyes at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Estac Troyes win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Estac Troyes Win	36%	26%	@ 3.60
Angers Win	34%	45%	@ 2.10
Draw	30%	29%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Estac Troyes or Draw at 1.67 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Estac Troyes or Draw	64%	55%	@ 1.67
Angers or Draw	63%	74%	@ 1.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	70%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	52%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	48%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	30%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	24%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	45%	47%	@ 2.00

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Angers or Estac Troyes is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Estac Troyes +1.75	87%	82%	@ 1.16
Estac Troyes +1.5	84%	76%	@ 1.24
Estac Troyes +1.25	79%	74%	@ 1.29
Angers +1.25	78%	86%	1.10
Estac Troyes +1	74%	70%	@ 1.36
Angers +1	73%	86%	1.11
Estac Troyes +0.75	69%	61%	@ 1.55
Angers +0.75	68%	79%	1.21
Estac Troyes +0.5	64%	55%	@ 1.75
Angers +0.5	63%	73%	1.31
Estac Troyes +0.25	57%	47%	@ 2.04
Angers +0.25	56%	69%	1.40
Estac Troyes 0	50%	37%	@ 2.56
Angers 0	50%	63%	1.52
Estac Troyes -0.25	44%	31%	@ 3.05
Angers -0.25	43%	53%	1.83
Estac Troyes -0.5	37%	27%	@ 3.50
Angers -0.5	36%	45%	2.11
Estac Troyes -0.75	32%	21%	@ 4.51
Angers -0.75	31%	39%	2.46
Estac Troyes -1	27%	14%	@ 6.60
Angers -1	26%	30%	3.17
Estac Troyes -1.25	22%	14%	@ 7.00
Angers -1.25	21%	26%	3.62
Angers -1.5	16%	24%	3.90
Angers -1.75	13%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Angers 45%Draw 28%Estac Troyes 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Angers vs Estac Troyes?

Our model's main pick is Estac Troyes with a +1.25 start at odds 1.29, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Angers vs Estac Troyes?

Our model makes an Estac Troyes win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.5 scoreline for Angers vs Estac Troyes.

What is the predicted score for Angers vs Estac Troyes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Angers and 1.54 for Estac Troyes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Angers and Estac Troyes play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.