⚽ Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Los Angeles FC Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.30, landed.
San Jose Earthquakes face Los Angeles FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: San Jose Earthquakes have 2 wins from their last 5, while Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 2, Los Angeles FC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Los Angeles FC Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC. Wins shown from San Jose Earthquakes’s perspective: San Jose Earthquakes 2 · 1 drawn · Los Angeles FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 – 2 | Los Angeles FC | D |
| 2026-04-19 | Los Angeles FC | 1 – 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | W |
| 2024-10-20 | Los Angeles FC | 3 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | L |
| 2024-06-23 | Los Angeles FC | 6 – 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | L |
| 2024-05-04 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 – 1 | Los Angeles FC | W |
📈 Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Houston Dynamo.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Sporting Kansas City.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. AdimabuaLower-Body Injury
- E. EdwardsLower-Body Injury
- D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
- T. WernerInjury
- P. JuddInjury
- R. RobertsLower-Body Injury
- T. HasalArm Injury
- R. PorteousLeg Injury
- T. TillmanInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices San Jose Earthquakes at 29% to win and Los Angeles FC at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC Win | 41% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| San Jose Earthquakes Win | 29% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.40 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 69% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 57% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 | 64% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when San Jose Earthquakes or Los Angeles FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC +1.5 | 87% | 83% | 1.14 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +2 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.75 | 83% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.25 | 83% | 82% | 1.16 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 | 80% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Los Angeles FC +1 | 78% | 80% | 1.18 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.25 | 74% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.75 | 73% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 69% | 68% | 1.41 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1 | 68% | 71% | 1.35 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.75 | 63% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 62% | 63% | 1.50 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 | 57% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 56% | 58% | 1.66 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.25 | 51% | 50% | 1.91 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.25 | 49% | 50% | 1.94 |
| San Jose Earthquakes 0 | 44% | 42% | 2.26 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.5 | 43% | 44% | 2.19 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 | 38% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.75 | 37% | 38% | 2.52 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 32% | 29% | @ 3.23 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 | 31% | 32% | 2.93 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.75 | 27% | 27% | 3.58 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 26% | 27% | 3.54 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1 | 22% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 20% | 24% | 3.90 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.25 | 17% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.75 | 17% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Los Angeles FC -2 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 | 13% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model's main pick is Los Angeles FC Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.
Who is the favourite for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.42 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.60 for Los Angeles FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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