Sun 20 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Serie A

Frosinone vs Como Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Frosinone vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Frosinone 2-0 Como

Frosinone vs Como finished 2-0. Frosinone won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.62, landed.

Frosinone face Como in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Frosinone have 2 wins from their last 4, while Como have 3 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.2-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Frosinone vs Como with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Frosinone +2 @ 1.35

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.20 – 1.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	8.7%	8.1%	5.0%	2.3%
1	5.6%	10.5%	9.7%	6.0%	2.8%
2	3.4%	6.3%	5.8%	3.6%	1.7%
3	1.4%	2.5%	2.3%	1.4%	0.7%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Frosinone winDrawComo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Como comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Frosinone with a +2 start at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Frosinone 21%Draw 23%Como 56%

21%23%56%

56%

Como Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Frosinone

Frosinone come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Fiorentina. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
DGenoa 1-1 FrosinoneSerie A
WFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A
DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
WFiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneSerie A

Como

Como come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Frosinone

F. GrillitschThigh Injury

Como

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Frosinone at 21% to win and Como at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como Win	56%	63%	@ 1.50
Draw	23%	21%	@ 4.50
Frosinone Win	21%	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.12 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como or Draw	79%	84%	@ 1.12
Frosinone or Draw	44%	37%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	63%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	59%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	41%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	37%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	19%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Frosinone or Como is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como +0.5	79%	84%	1.12
Frosinone +2	77%	71%	@ 1.35
Como +0.25	74%	83%	1.15
Frosinone +1.75	73%	63%	@ 1.50
Frosinone +1.5	69%	57%	@ 1.67
Como 0	68%	81%	1.19
Frosinone +1.25	63%	52%	@ 1.85
Como -0.25	62%	72%	1.33
Frosinone +1	56%	45%	@ 2.10
Como -0.5	56%	65%	1.47
Frosinone +0.75	50%	40%	@ 2.41
Como -0.75	50%	60%	1.58
Frosinone +0.5	44%	35%	@ 2.71
Como -1	44%	55%	1.75
Frosinone +0.25	38%	28%	@ 3.39
Como -1.25	37%	48%	2.02
Frosinone 0	32%	19%	@ 4.92
Como -1.5	31%	43%	2.25
Como -1.75	27%	37%	2.60
Frosinone -0.25	26%	17%	@ 5.50
Como -2	23%	29%	3.25
Frosinone -0.5	21%	16%	@ 6.00

📈 How the market moved

Frosinone 15%Draw 21%Como 64%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Como?

Our model's main pick is Frosinone with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Como?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline for Frosinone vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Como?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Frosinone and 1.86 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Frosinone and Como play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.