Sun 20 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Nice vs Lille Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nice vs Lille in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nice 2-1 Lille

Nice vs Lille finished 2-1. Nice won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, landed.

Nice face Lille in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Nice have 0 wins from their last 4, while Lille have 3 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Nice won 2, Lille won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nice vs Lille with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.02 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	12.6%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
1	9.4%	12.8%	8.7%	4.0%	1.3%
2	4.8%	6.5%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.6%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Nice winDrawLille win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nice vs Lille comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Nice 23%Draw 29%Lille 48%

23%29%48%

48%

Lille Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Nice and Lille. Wins shown from Nice’s perspective: Nice 2 · 2 drawn · Lille 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	Nice	2 – 1	Lille	W
2026-04-18	Lille	0 – 0	Nice	D
2025-10-29	Nice	2 – 0	Lille	W
2025-01-17	Lille	2 – 1	Nice	L
2024-11-10	Nice	2 – 2	Lille	D

📈 Recent form

Nice

Nice come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lille. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Auxerre.

WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1

Lille

Lille come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Nice.

LNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
WLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
WToulouse 0-1 LilleLigue 1
DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nice

L. AbergelKnee Injury
M. BombitoLeg Injury
A. MendyKnee Injury
M. SansonSurgery

Lille

H. IgamaneKnee Injury
T. NianzouKnock

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nice at 23% to win and Lille at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille Win	48%	47%	@ 2.00
Draw	29%	27%	@ 3.50
Nice Win	23%	26%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.28 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille or Draw	75%	74%	@ 1.28
Nice or Draw	50%	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	69%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	58%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	42%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	31%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	22%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	47%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	46%	53%	@ 1.75

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nice or Lille is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lille +1	83%	86%	1.10
Nice +2	81%	86%	1.10
Lille +0.75	79%	79%	1.19
Nice +1.75	77%	80%	1.18
Lille +0.5	75%	74%	1.28
Nice +1.5	74%	75%	1.27
Lille +0.25	69%	70%	1.36
Nice +1.25	68%	72%	1.32
Lille 0	63%	65%	1.48
Nice +1	62%	68%	1.41
Lille -0.25	57%	55%	1.75
Nice +0.75	56%	59%	1.61
Lille -0.5	50%	47%	@ 2.04
Nice +0.5	50%	53%	1.83
Lille -0.75	44%	41%	@ 2.35
Nice +0.25	43%	45%	2.11
Lille -1	38%	32%	@ 2.96
Nice 0	37%	35%	@ 2.71
Lille -1.25	32%	28%	@ 3.40
Nice -0.25	31%	30%	3.17
Lille -1.5	26%	25%	3.73
Nice -0.5	25%	26%	3.64
Lille -1.75	23%	20%	@ 4.65
Nice -0.75	21%	21%	4.50
Lille -2	19%	14%	@ 7.00
Nice -1	17%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Nice 26%Draw 27%Lille 47%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nice vs Lille?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Nice vs Lille?

Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.4 scoreline for Nice vs Lille.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lille?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.02 for Nice and 1.36 for Lille. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nice and Lille play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.