Sun 20 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Serie A

Juventus vs Atalanta Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs Atalanta in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Juventus 2-0 Atalanta

Juventus vs Atalanta finished 2-0. Juventus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.40, landed.

Juventus face Atalanta in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Juventus have 2 wins from their last 4, while Atalanta have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Juventus won 2, Atalanta won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs Atalanta with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Atalanta +1.75 @ 1.28

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.30 – 1.14 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	9.9%	5.7%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.3%	12.9%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.4%	8.4%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.2%	3.6%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Juventus winDrawAtalanta win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Atalanta with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Juventus 45%Draw 28%Atalanta 27%

45%28%27%

45%

Juventus Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Juventus and Atalanta. Wins shown from Juventus’s perspective: Juventus 2 · 2 drawn · Atalanta 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	Juventus	2 – 0	Atalanta	W
2026-04-11	Atalanta	0 – 1	Juventus	W
2025-09-27	Juventus	1 – 1	Atalanta	D
2025-03-09	Juventus	0 – 4	Atalanta	L
2025-01-14	Atalanta	1 – 1	Juventus	D

📈 Recent form

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.

WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Bologna. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Juventus.

LJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
LAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
LAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
WHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Juventus

J. BogaMuscle Injury
J. CabalThigh Injury
A. CambiasoAnkle Injury
J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
K. GrabaraKnee Injury
M. LocatelliKnee Injury
A. MilikNot in squad
K. ThuramKnee Injury

Atalanta

I. HienMuscle Injury
O. KossounouThigh Injury
K. SulemanaKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Juventus at 45% to win and Atalanta at 27%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus Win	45%	56%	@ 1.70
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.80
Atalanta Win	27%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.17 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Juventus or Draw	72%	81%	@ 1.17
Atalanta or Draw	54%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	70%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	56%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	44%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	30%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	23%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	49%	50%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Juventus or Atalanta is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atalanta +2	84%	81%	1.17
Atalanta +1.75	81%	74%	@ 1.28
Atalanta +1.5	77%	68%	@ 1.41
Juventus +0.75	76%	85%	1.12
Atalanta +1.25	72%	63%	@ 1.51
Juventus +0.5	72%	80%	1.18
Atalanta +1	66%	57%	@ 1.67
Juventus +0.25	65%	–	1.23
Atalanta +0.75	60%	49%	@ 1.96
Juventus 0	59%	75%	1.27
Atalanta +0.5	54%	44%	@ 2.19
Juventus -0.25	52%	64%	1.49
Atalanta +0.25	48%	36%	@ 2.67
Juventus -0.5	46%	56%	1.70
Atalanta 0	41%	25%	@ 3.75
Juventus -0.75	40%	51%	1.92
Juventus -1	34%	43%	2.25
Atalanta -0.5	28%	20%	@ 4.65
Juventus -1.25	28%	37%	2.58
Atalanta -0.75	24%	15%	@ 6.40
Juventus -1.5	23%	32%	2.94
Juventus -1.75	19%	26%	3.66
Juventus -2	16%	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

Juventus 56%Draw 25%Atalanta 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta?

Our model's main pick is Atalanta with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Atalanta?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Juventus vs Atalanta.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Atalanta?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.30 for Juventus and 1.14 for Atalanta. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Juventus and Atalanta play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.