Sun 20 Sep3-1Finished

⚽ La Liga

Villarreal vs Levante Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Villarreal vs Levante in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Villarreal 3-1 Levante

Villarreal vs Levante finished 3-1. Villarreal won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.57, landed.

Villarreal face Levante in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Villarreal have 0 wins from their last 5, while Levante have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Villarreal won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Villarreal win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 2.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Villarreal vs Levante with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Levante +2 @ 1.32

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.27 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	3.7%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%
1	6.6%	8.4%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
2	7.5%	9.5%	6.0%	2.6%	0.8%
3	5.7%	7.2%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%
4	3.2%	4.1%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Villarreal winDrawLevante win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Levante comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Levante with a +2 start at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Villarreal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Villarreal 58%Draw 24%Levante 18%

58%24%18%

58%

Villarreal Win

69%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Villarreal and Levante. Wins shown from Villarreal’s perspective: Villarreal 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-20	Villarreal	3 – 1	Levante	W
2026-08-05	Villarreal	1 – 0	Levante	W
2026-05-02	Villarreal	5 – 1	Levante	W
2026-02-18	Levante	0 – 1	Villarreal	W

📈 Recent form

Villarreal

Villarreal come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Levante. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Real Betis.

WVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
WMálaga 1-3 VillarrealLa Liga
LVillarreal 1-2 Real BetisLa Liga
LBorussia Dortmund 3-2 VillarrealUEFA Champions League
LVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga

Levante

Levante come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Villarreal.

LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Villarreal

S. ComesanaInjury
J. FoythAchilles Tendon Injury

Levante

K. Etta EyongInjury
A. PrimoShoulder Injury
H. SoteloKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Villarreal at 58% to win and Levante at 18%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Villarreal win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Villarreal Win	58%	63%	@ 1.50
Draw	24%	20%	@ 4.75
Levante Win	18%	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Villarreal or Draw at 1.14 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Villarreal or Draw	81%	83%	@ 1.14
Levante or Draw	42%	37%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	69%	64%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	53%	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	47%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	31%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	13%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	36%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Villarreal or Levante is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Villarreal +0.75	84%	86%	1.10
Villarreal +0.5	81%	83%	1.15
Villarreal +0.25	76%	80%	1.18
Levante +2	75%	72%	1.32
Levante +1.75	71%	65%	@ 1.48
Villarreal 0	70%	–	1.22
Levante +1.5	66%	59%	@ 1.63
Villarreal -0.25	64%	70%	1.35
Levante +1.25	60%	53%	@ 1.79
Villarreal -0.5	58%	63%	1.50
Levante +1	54%	47%	@ 2.07
Villarreal -0.75	52%	59%	1.61
Levante +0.75	48%	41%	@ 2.35
Villarreal -1	46%	53%	1.81
Levante +0.5	42%	37%	@ 2.60
Villarreal -1.25	40%	47%	2.06
Levante +0.25	36%	30%	@ 3.22
Villarreal -1.5	34%	41%	2.31
Villarreal -1.75	29%	35%	2.70
Villarreal -2	25%	28%	3.45
Levante -0.25	24%	20%	@ 4.65
Levante -0.5	19%	17%	@ 5.50
Levante -0.75	16%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Villarreal 63%Draw 20%Levante 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Levante?

Our model's main pick is Levante with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Levante?

Our model makes a Villarreal win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline for Villarreal vs Levante.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Levante?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.27 for Villarreal and 1.27 for Levante. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Villarreal and Levante play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.