AEK Athens FC
Levski Sofia⚽ UEFA Champions League
AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia finished 4-0. AEK Athens FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.42, did not land.
AEK Athens FC face Levski Sofia in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, AEK Athens FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AEK Athens FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia. Wins shown from AEK Athens FC’s perspective: AEK Athens FC 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FC | 4 – 0 | Levski Sofia | W |
| 2026-08-18 | Levski Sofia | 0 – 0 | AEK Athens FC | D |
📈 Recent form
AEK Athens FC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WVolos NFC 1-2 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
- DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
- WAEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League
- WAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
- WNestos Chrisoupolis 0-2 AEK Athens FCCup
Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Red Bull Salzburg.
- LLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices AEK Athens FC at 35% to win and Levski Sofia at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC Win | 35% | 64% | @ 1.47 |
| Levski Sofia Win | 34% | 13% | @ 7.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AEK Athens FC or Draw at 1.07 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC or Draw | 64% | 87% | @ 1.07 |
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 63% | 36% | @ 2.48 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 68% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 76% | @ 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 56% | @ 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 44% | @ 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 24% | @ 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 40% | @ 2.28 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 60% | @ 1.53 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when AEK Athens FC or Levski Sofia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia +2 | 89% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Levski Sofia +1.75 | 86% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Levski Sofia +1.5 | 83% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Levski Sofia +1.25 | 78% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Levski Sofia +1 | 73% | 48% | @ 1.99 |
| Levski Sofia +0.75 | 68% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| AEK Athens FC +0.5 | 64% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 63% | 35% | @ 2.66 |
| AEK Athens FC +0.25 | 57% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 56% | 27% | @ 3.48 |
| AEK Athens FC 0 | 51% | – | 1.15 |
| AEK Athens FC -0.25 | 44% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 43% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| AEK Athens FC -0.5 | 37% | 65% | 1.45 |
| Levski Sofia -0.5 | 36% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| AEK Athens FC -0.75 | 32% | 60% | 1.59 |
| AEK Athens FC -1 | 27% | 52% | 1.82 |
| AEK Athens FC -1.25 | 22% | 45% | 2.10 |
| AEK Athens FC -1.5 | 17% | 40% | 2.37 |
| AEK Athens FC -1.75 | 14% | 33% | 2.86 |
| AEK Athens FC -2 | 11% | 24% | 3.88 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?
Our model's main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?
Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for AEK Athens FC and 1.36 for Levski Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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