vs
⚽ UEFA Champions League
AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski Sofia
AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia finished 4-0. AEK Athens FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.42, did not land.
AEK Athens FC face Levski Sofia in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, AEK Athens FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates an AEK Athens FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Levski Sofia to win or draw at odds 2.66 (+66.4% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia. Wins shown from AEK Athens FC’s perspective: AEK Athens FC 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FC | 4 – 0 | Levski Sofia | W |
| 2026-08-18 | Levski Sofia | 0 – 0 | AEK Athens FC | D |
📈 Recent form
AEK Athens FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Levski Sofia.
- WAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WAEK Athens FC 4-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
- DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
- DAEK Athens FC 2-2 OFISuper Cup
- WAEK Athens FC 3-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
Levski Sofia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at AEK Athens FC.
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
- WKairat Almaty 0-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices AEK Athens FC at 35% to win and Levski Sofia at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia Win | 34% | @ 6.40 | +117.9% |
| Draw | 31% | @ 3.85 | +18.3% |
| AEK Athens FC Win | 35% | @ 1.53 | -46.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 2.40 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 63% | @ 2.40 | +50.3% |
| AEK Athens FC or Draw | 64% | @ 1.11 | -29.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | @ 1.35 | -0.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 3.65 | -1.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | @ 2.00 | -2.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.28 | -6.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | @ 1.77 | -9.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | @ 3.10 | -18.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | @ 2.05 | +9.6% |
| BTTS No | 47% | @ 1.67 | -22.3% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when AEK Athens FC or Levski Sofia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 43% | @ 5.75 | +146.2% |
| Levski Sofia -0.5 | 36% | @ 6.40 | +131.7% |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 56% | @ 3.48 | +94.7% |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 63% | @ 2.66 | +66.4% |
| Levski Sofia +0.75 | 68% | @ 2.38 | +61.0% |
| Levski Sofia +1 | 73% | @ 1.99 | +45.4% |
| Levski Sofia +1.25 | 78% | @ 1.74 | +35.6% |
| Levski Sofia +1.5 | 83% | @ 1.56 | +29.7% |
| Levski Sofia +1.75 | 86% | @ 1.42 | +21.7% |
| Levski Sofia +2 | 89% | @ 1.25 | +11.4% |
| AEK Athens FC +0.5 | 64% | 1.12 | -28.6% |
| AEK Athens FC +0.25 | 57% | 1.14 | -34.8% |
| AEK Athens FC 0 | 51% | 1.15 | -41.8% |
| AEK Athens FC -0.25 | 44% | 1.30 | -42.6% |
| AEK Athens FC -0.5 | 37% | 1.45 | -45.7% |
| AEK Athens FC -0.75 | 32% | 1.59 | -48.8% |
| AEK Athens FC -1 | 27% | 1.82 | -50.8% |
| AEK Athens FC -1.25 | 22% | 2.10 | -54.1% |
| AEK Athens FC -2 | 11% | 3.88 | -56.3% |
| AEK Athens FC -1.75 | 14% | 2.86 | -60.0% |
| AEK Athens FC -1.5 | 17% | 2.37 | -60.4% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?
Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Levski Sofia to win or draw at 2.66 (+66.4% value).
Who is the favourite for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?
Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for AEK Athens FC and 1.36 for Levski Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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